Strong forecast consensus from multiple meteorological models supports the near-certain market-implied probability above 99% for a daily high of 26°C or higher in Jinan on September 5. Clear skies and light northeasterly winds under a stable high-pressure pattern are expected to drive maximum temperatures to around 32°C, consistent with early-September climatology for the region and current observations showing rapid daytime warming. Authoritative sources including NOAA-aligned guidance and local agency runs show tight agreement on peak values well above the threshold. Only an unexpected increase in afternoon cloud cover or an unforecast frontal passage could realistically cap the high near or below 26°C, though such shifts remain low-probability given the current steering pattern and lack of nearby disturbances.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Jinan em 5 de setembro?
Temperatura mais alta em Jinan em 5 de setembro?
26°C ou mais 99.8%
16°C ou menos <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
NOVO
$18,968 Vol.
NOVO
$18,968 Vol.
5 set 2026
16°C ou menos
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C ou mais
100%
26°C ou mais 99.8%
16°C ou menos <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
NOVO
$18,968 Vol.
NOVO
$18,968 Vol.
5 set 2026
16°C ou menos
$4,016 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$2,195 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$1,195 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$790 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$240 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$240 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$240 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$1,790 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$87 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$294 Vol.
<1%
26°C ou mais
$7,880 Vol.
100%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Strong forecast consensus from multiple meteorological models supports the near-certain market-implied probability above 99% for a daily high of 26°C or higher in Jinan on September 5. Clear skies and light northeasterly winds under a stable high-pressure pattern are expected to drive maximum temperatures to around 32°C, consistent with early-September climatology for the region and current observations showing rapid daytime warming. Authoritative sources including NOAA-aligned guidance and local agency runs show tight agreement on peak values well above the threshold. Only an unexpected increase in afternoon cloud cover or an unforecast frontal passage could realistically cap the high near or below 26°C, though such shifts remain low-probability given the current steering pattern and lack of nearby disturbances.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 4, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volume
$18,968Data de Término
5 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 4, 2026, 12:55 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Strong forecast consensus from multiple meteorological models supports the near-certain market-implied probability above 99% for a daily high of 26°C or higher in Jinan on September 5. Clear skies and light northeasterly winds under a stable high-pressure pattern are expected to drive maximum temperatures to around 32°C, consistent with early-September climatology for the region and current observations showing rapid daytime warming. Authoritative sources including NOAA-aligned guidance and local agency runs show tight agreement on peak values well above the threshold. Only an unexpected increase in afternoon cloud cover or an unforecast frontal passage could realistically cap the high near or below 26°C, though such shifts remain low-probability given the current steering pattern and lack of nearby disturbances.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$18,968Data de Término
5 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 4, 2026, 12:55 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Strong forecast consensus from multiple meteorological models supports the near-certain market-implied probability above 99% for a daily high of 26°C or higher in Jinan on September 5. Clear skies and light northeasterly winds under a stable high-pressure pattern are expected to drive maximum temperatures to around 32°C, consistent with early-September climatology for the region and current observations showing rapid daytime warming. Authoritative sources including NOAA-aligned guidance and local agency runs show tight agreement on peak values well above the threshold. Only an unexpected increase in afternoon cloud cover or an unforecast frontal passage could realistically cap the high near or below 26°C, though such shifts remain low-probability given the current steering pattern and lack of nearby disturbances.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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