**Trader consensus on the Taipei temperature market heavily favors a peak of 37°C today, reflecting expectations that actual observations will exceed the Central Weather Administration (CWA) forecast range of 28–35°C.** Persistent summer heat driven by subtropical high pressure, high humidity, and the urban heat island effect in Taipei continues from July’s elevated readings, where daily maxima frequently approached or reached 37°C. Limited precipitation (20% chance) and minimal cooling from cloud cover or sea breezes support further warming into the afternoon. Official CWA guidance caps the projected high at 35°C with light winds, yet market-implied odds indicate traders anticipate localized measurements or station-specific peaks climbing higher, consistent with historical variability in early August when averages sit near 33–34°C but outliers reach 36–37°C. No major typhoon or frontal system is disrupting the pattern in the short term, keeping resolution focused on today’s observational data from CWA stations.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Taipei no dia 1 de agosto?
37°C 58%
36°C 33%
38°C 8%
39°C or higher <1%
$56,494 Vol.
$56,494 Vol.
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
33%
37°C
59%
38°C
8%
39°C or higher
1%
37°C 58%
36°C 33%
38°C 8%
39°C or higher <1%
$56,494 Vol.
$56,494 Vol.
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
33%
37°C
59%
38°C
8%
39°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jul 30, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus on the Taipei temperature market heavily favors a peak of 37°C today, reflecting expectations that actual observations will exceed the Central Weather Administration (CWA) forecast range of 28–35°C.** Persistent summer heat driven by subtropical high pressure, high humidity, and the urban heat island effect in Taipei continues from July’s elevated readings, where daily maxima frequently approached or reached 37°C. Limited precipitation (20% chance) and minimal cooling from cloud cover or sea breezes support further warming into the afternoon. Official CWA guidance caps the projected high at 35°C with light winds, yet market-implied odds indicate traders anticipate localized measurements or station-specific peaks climbing higher, consistent with historical variability in early August when averages sit near 33–34°C but outliers reach 36–37°C. No major typhoon or frontal system is disrupting the pattern in the short term, keeping resolution focused on today’s observational data from CWA stations.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado


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