Persistent marine layer and moderate onshore flow from the Pacific suppressed daytime heating in San Francisco on August 17, anchoring the official high near the upper 60s to low 70s in line with National Weather Service guidance. Typical August climatology features average highs of 67–70°F, with cool sea breezes and morning stratus limiting warming even under a weak ridge. Recent model consensus showed little potential for excursions above 72°F, producing overwhelming market-implied odds near 99.9% for the 70–71°F bracket. Only a rapid marine-layer erosion or unexpected offshore wind shift could have challenged this outcome, but observed conditions remained stable through the afternoon peak.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em São Francisco no dia 17 de agosto?
70-71°F 100.0%
16°C ou menos <1%
62-63°F <1%
64-65°F <1%
$27,586 Vol.
$27,586 Vol.
16°C ou menos
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
19-19,5°C
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
100%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80°F ou mais
<1%
70-71°F 100.0%
16°C ou menos <1%
62-63°F <1%
64-65°F <1%
$27,586 Vol.
$27,586 Vol.
16°C ou menos
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
19-19,5°C
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
100%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80°F ou mais
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 15, 2026, 9:57 PM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent marine layer and moderate onshore flow from the Pacific suppressed daytime heating in San Francisco on August 17, anchoring the official high near the upper 60s to low 70s in line with National Weather Service guidance. Typical August climatology features average highs of 67–70°F, with cool sea breezes and morning stratus limiting warming even under a weak ridge. Recent model consensus showed little potential for excursions above 72°F, producing overwhelming market-implied odds near 99.9% for the 70–71°F bracket. Only a rapid marine-layer erosion or unexpected offshore wind shift could have challenged this outcome, but observed conditions remained stable through the afternoon peak.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado


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