Official forecasts from Spain’s AEMET and supporting numerical weather models converge on a daytime maximum of 38–39 °C for Madrid on August 18, driven by persistent high pressure, clear skies, and strong solar heating typical of late-summer continental conditions. Madrid’s urban heat island and low humidity further amplify peak readings on the official thermometer network. These data anchor trader consensus on the 39 °C and 38 °C outcomes, with limited probability assigned to 40 °C or higher given model agreement and absence of anomalous warm advection. Final observations later today will determine exact resolution within this narrow range.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Madrid a 18 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Madrid a 18 de agosto?
39°C 55%
38°C 34%
40°C 11%
37°C 2%
NOVO
$39,280 Vol.
NOVO
$39,280 Vol.
18 ago 2026
34°C or below
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
1%
37°C
2%
38°C
34%
39°C
55%
40°C
11%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C
<1%
44°C or higher
<1%
39°C 55%
38°C 34%
40°C 11%
37°C 2%
NOVO
$39,280 Vol.
NOVO
$39,280 Vol.
18 ago 2026
34°C or below
$1,174 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$1,622 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$2,675 Vol.
1%
37°C
$3,746 Vol.
2%
38°C
$9,762 Vol.
34%
39°C
$8,730 Vol.
55%
40°C
$7,740 Vol.
11%
41°C
$2,061 Vol.
<1%
42°C
$942 Vol.
<1%
43°C
$330 Vol.
<1%
44°C or higher
$599 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Spain’s AEMET and supporting numerical weather models converge on a daytime maximum of 38–39 °C for Madrid on August 18, driven by persistent high pressure, clear skies, and strong solar heating typical of late-summer continental conditions. Madrid’s urban heat island and low humidity further amplify peak readings on the official thermometer network. These data anchor trader consensus on the 39 °C and 38 °C outcomes, with limited probability assigned to 40 °C or higher given model agreement and absence of anomalous warm advection. Final observations later today will determine exact resolution within this narrow range.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$39,280Data de Término
18 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Spain’s AEMET and supporting numerical weather models converge on a daytime maximum of 38–39 °C for Madrid on August 18, driven by persistent high pressure, clear skies, and strong solar heating typical of late-summer continental conditions. Madrid’s urban heat island and low humidity further amplify peak readings on the official thermometer network. These data anchor trader consensus on the 39 °C and 38 °C outcomes, with limited probability assigned to 40 °C or higher given model agreement and absence of anomalous warm advection. Final observations later today will determine exact resolution within this narrow range.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$39,280Data de Término
18 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from Spain’s AEMET and supporting numerical weather models converge on a daytime maximum of 38–39 °C for Madrid on August 18, driven by persistent high pressure, clear skies, and strong solar heating typical of late-summer continental conditions. Madrid’s urban heat island and low humidity further amplify peak readings on the official thermometer network. These data anchor trader consensus on the 39 °C and 38 °C outcomes, with limited probability assigned to 40 °C or higher given model agreement and absence of anomalous warm advection. Final observations later today will determine exact resolution within this narrow range.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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