Cool southerly airflow and polar air intrusions are suppressing Wellington’s daytime maximum near 11–12 °C on August 18, according to MetService guidance and supporting the market’s 96% implied probability on 12 °C. Persistent showery southwesterlies and gales limit solar heating and maintain a cooler marine air mass relative to the August climatological average high of roughly 12 °C. Model consensus and recent analogous days favor values at or just below baseline, with official Kelburn and airport observations determining resolution. A shift to 13 °C or higher would require unexpected clearing or delayed shower timing, though current short-range forecasts show limited warming potential before the next frontal passage.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Wellington em 18 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Wellington em 18 de agosto?
12°C 97%
13°C 3.3%
15°C <1%
14°C <1%
NOVO
$85,689 Vol.
NOVO
$85,689 Vol.
18 ago 2026
6°C or below
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
97%
13°C
3%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C or higher
<1%
12°C 97%
13°C 3.3%
15°C <1%
14°C <1%
NOVO
$85,689 Vol.
NOVO
$85,689 Vol.
18 ago 2026
6°C or below
$339 Vol.
<1%
7°C
$850 Vol.
<1%
8°C
$1,498 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$3,896 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$10,604 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$32,898 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$17,583 Vol.
97%
13°C
$7,394 Vol.
3%
14°C
$4,703 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$4,089 Vol.
<1%
16°C or higher
$1,836 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Cool southerly airflow and polar air intrusions are suppressing Wellington’s daytime maximum near 11–12 °C on August 18, according to MetService guidance and supporting the market’s 96% implied probability on 12 °C. Persistent showery southwesterlies and gales limit solar heating and maintain a cooler marine air mass relative to the August climatological average high of roughly 12 °C. Model consensus and recent analogous days favor values at or just below baseline, with official Kelburn and airport observations determining resolution. A shift to 13 °C or higher would require unexpected clearing or delayed shower timing, though current short-range forecasts show limited warming potential before the next frontal passage.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$85,689Data de Término
18 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Cool southerly airflow and polar air intrusions are suppressing Wellington’s daytime maximum near 11–12 °C on August 18, according to MetService guidance and supporting the market’s 96% implied probability on 12 °C. Persistent showery southwesterlies and gales limit solar heating and maintain a cooler marine air mass relative to the August climatological average high of roughly 12 °C. Model consensus and recent analogous days favor values at or just below baseline, with official Kelburn and airport observations determining resolution. A shift to 13 °C or higher would require unexpected clearing or delayed shower timing, though current short-range forecasts show limited warming potential before the next frontal passage.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$85,689Data de Término
18 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Cool southerly airflow and polar air intrusions are suppressing Wellington’s daytime maximum near 11–12 °C on August 18, according to MetService guidance and supporting the market’s 96% implied probability on 12 °C. Persistent showery southwesterlies and gales limit solar heating and maintain a cooler marine air mass relative to the August climatological average high of roughly 12 °C. Model consensus and recent analogous days favor values at or just below baseline, with official Kelburn and airport observations determining resolution. A shift to 13 °C or higher would require unexpected clearing or delayed shower timing, though current short-range forecasts show limited warming potential before the next frontal passage.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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