Official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory established a daily maximum of exactly 32°C on August 17, anchoring trader consensus at near-certainty for that threshold. Mid-August subtropical conditions typically produce highs of 31–33°C, consistent with the month’s mean maximum near 32.8°C through mid-month and absent any typhoon-driven heat advection or anomalous high-pressure setup that elevated earlier records to 36.9°C. With resolution tied to headquarters readings on the standard thermometer, no realistic scenario such as minor station variance or measurement revision could plausibly shift the outcome.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Hong Kong em 17 de agosto?
32°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$168,635 Vol.
$168,635 Vol.
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
100%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
32°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$168,635 Vol.
$168,635 Vol.
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
100%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 15, 2026, 4:05 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory established a daily maximum of exactly 32°C on August 17, anchoring trader consensus at near-certainty for that threshold. Mid-August subtropical conditions typically produce highs of 31–33°C, consistent with the month’s mean maximum near 32.8°C through mid-month and absent any typhoon-driven heat advection or anomalous high-pressure setup that elevated earlier records to 36.9°C. With resolution tied to headquarters readings on the standard thermometer, no realistic scenario such as minor station variance or measurement revision could plausibly shift the outcome.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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