Hong Kong's subtropical monsoon climate typically produces August minimum temperatures near 26–27°C, driven by high humidity, frequent cloud cover, and limited nocturnal radiative cooling. Seasonal outlooks from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate normal-to-above-normal temperatures for August–October 2026, supporting market-implied odds clustered at 27–28°C. Short-term model consensus and recent observations highlight how variable cloudiness or showers on August 17 could limit overnight drops to 28°C or allow clearer conditions for a 26°C reading. With outcomes tightly bunched, traders weigh the balance between persistent moisture suppressing cooling versus any transient high-pressure influence enhancing it, consistent with historical variability in the 25–29°C envelope.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Hong Kong em 17 de agosto?
Temperatura mais baixa em Hong Kong em 17 de agosto?
28°C 34%
27°C 33%
26°C 29%
25°C 23%
NOVO
NOVO
17 ago 2026
23°C ou menos
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
23%
26°C
29%
27°C
33%
28°C
34%
29°C
18%
30°C
9%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C ou mais
<1%
28°C 34%
27°C 33%
26°C 29%
25°C 23%
NOVO
NOVO
17 ago 2026
23°C ou menos
$22 Vol.
1%
24°C
$5 Vol.
1%
25°C
$2 Vol.
23%
26°C
$2 Vol.
29%
27°C
$0 Vol.
33%
28°C
$0 Vol.
34%
29°C
$0 Vol.
18%
30°C
$0 Vol.
9%
31°C
$5 Vol.
1%
32°C
$5 Vol.
<1%
33°C ou mais
$5 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong's subtropical monsoon climate typically produces August minimum temperatures near 26–27°C, driven by high humidity, frequent cloud cover, and limited nocturnal radiative cooling. Seasonal outlooks from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate normal-to-above-normal temperatures for August–October 2026, supporting market-implied odds clustered at 27–28°C. Short-term model consensus and recent observations highlight how variable cloudiness or showers on August 17 could limit overnight drops to 28°C or allow clearer conditions for a 26°C reading. With outcomes tightly bunched, traders weigh the balance between persistent moisture suppressing cooling versus any transient high-pressure influence enhancing it, consistent with historical variability in the 25–29°C envelope.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 15, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Volume
$46Data de Término
17 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 15, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong's subtropical monsoon climate typically produces August minimum temperatures near 26–27°C, driven by high humidity, frequent cloud cover, and limited nocturnal radiative cooling. Seasonal outlooks from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate normal-to-above-normal temperatures for August–October 2026, supporting market-implied odds clustered at 27–28°C. Short-term model consensus and recent observations highlight how variable cloudiness or showers on August 17 could limit overnight drops to 28°C or allow clearer conditions for a 26°C reading. With outcomes tightly bunched, traders weigh the balance between persistent moisture suppressing cooling versus any transient high-pressure influence enhancing it, consistent with historical variability in the 25–29°C envelope.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$46Data de Término
17 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 15, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hong Kong's subtropical monsoon climate typically produces August minimum temperatures near 26–27°C, driven by high humidity, frequent cloud cover, and limited nocturnal radiative cooling. Seasonal outlooks from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate normal-to-above-normal temperatures for August–October 2026, supporting market-implied odds clustered at 27–28°C. Short-term model consensus and recent observations highlight how variable cloudiness or showers on August 17 could limit overnight drops to 28°C or allow clearer conditions for a 26°C reading. With outcomes tightly bunched, traders weigh the balance between persistent moisture suppressing cooling versus any transient high-pressure influence enhancing it, consistent with historical variability in the 25–29°C envelope.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions