Recent National Weather Service guidance highlights a cooling trend across the Bay Area, with marine layer stratus and onshore flow suppressing daytime highs well below seasonal averages for mid-August. San Francisco's coastal position typically limits peaks to the upper 60s through low 70s Fahrenheit via persistent Pacific moderation and afternoon sea breezes, aligning with historical KSFO observations around 70°F. Model consensus supports this range, reducing odds of warmer inland-influenced spikes. Traders have priced 68-71°F outcomes highest, reflecting skin-in-the-game assessment of these atmospheric conditions and the station's official daily maximum reading.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em São Francisco no dia 14 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em São Francisco no dia 14 de agosto?
68-69°F 44%
70-71°F 40%
66-67°F 13%
72-73°F 6%
$22,221 Vol.
$22,221 Vol.
14 ago 2026
59°F ou menos
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
5%
66-67°F
13%
68-69°F
44%
70-71°F
40%
72-73°F
6%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78°F ou mais
<1%
68-69°F 44%
70-71°F 40%
66-67°F 13%
72-73°F 6%
$22,221 Vol.
$22,221 Vol.
14 ago 2026
59°F ou menos
$1,047 Vol.
<1%
60-61°F
$1,064 Vol.
<1%
62-63°F
$1,323 Vol.
<1%
64-65°F
$1,317 Vol.
5%
66-67°F
$6,984 Vol.
13%
68-69°F
$3,872 Vol.
44%
70-71°F
$2,465 Vol.
40%
72-73°F
$1,935 Vol.
6%
74-75°F
$1,469 Vol.
<1%
76-77°F
$409 Vol.
<1%
78°F ou mais
$337 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance highlights a cooling trend across the Bay Area, with marine layer stratus and onshore flow suppressing daytime highs well below seasonal averages for mid-August. San Francisco's coastal position typically limits peaks to the upper 60s through low 70s Fahrenheit via persistent Pacific moderation and afternoon sea breezes, aligning with historical KSFO observations around 70°F. Model consensus supports this range, reducing odds of warmer inland-influenced spikes. Traders have priced 68-71°F outcomes highest, reflecting skin-in-the-game assessment of these atmospheric conditions and the station's official daily maximum reading.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 12, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Volume
$22,221Data de Término
14 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 12, 2026, 8:56 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance highlights a cooling trend across the Bay Area, with marine layer stratus and onshore flow suppressing daytime highs well below seasonal averages for mid-August. San Francisco's coastal position typically limits peaks to the upper 60s through low 70s Fahrenheit via persistent Pacific moderation and afternoon sea breezes, aligning with historical KSFO observations around 70°F. Model consensus supports this range, reducing odds of warmer inland-influenced spikes. Traders have priced 68-71°F outcomes highest, reflecting skin-in-the-game assessment of these atmospheric conditions and the station's official daily maximum reading.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$22,221Data de Término
14 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 12, 2026, 8:56 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service guidance highlights a cooling trend across the Bay Area, with marine layer stratus and onshore flow suppressing daytime highs well below seasonal averages for mid-August. San Francisco's coastal position typically limits peaks to the upper 60s through low 70s Fahrenheit via persistent Pacific moderation and afternoon sea breezes, aligning with historical KSFO observations around 70°F. Model consensus supports this range, reducing odds of warmer inland-influenced spikes. Traders have priced 68-71°F outcomes highest, reflecting skin-in-the-game assessment of these atmospheric conditions and the station's official daily maximum reading.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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