Recent numerical weather prediction runs from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles show a high-pressure ridge dominating the Sichuan Basin, favoring clear to partly cloudy skies and strong solar heating that supports a daytime maximum near 37–38°C on August 16. Subtropical monsoon humidity and Chongqing’s urban heat-island effect amplify surface warming, while light winds limit mixing and any brief convective clouds or moisture advection could shave 1–2°C. Historical August peaks frequently reach 38–40°C, yet current model spread centers probabilities on 37–38°C, with upside risk only if subsidence strengthens further. Updated CMA guidance and 48-hour ensemble outputs expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine resolution criteria.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Chongqing em 16 de agosto?
38°C 41%
37°C 31%
39°C 13%
36°C 10%
33°C or below
3%
34°C
1%
35°C
4%
36°C
10%
37°C
31%
38°C
41%
39°C
13%
40°C
5%
41°C
1%
42°C
1%
43°C or higher
<1%
38°C 41%
37°C 31%
39°C 13%
36°C 10%
33°C or below
3%
34°C
1%
35°C
4%
36°C
10%
37°C
31%
38°C
41%
39°C
13%
40°C
5%
41°C
1%
42°C
1%
43°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction runs from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles show a high-pressure ridge dominating the Sichuan Basin, favoring clear to partly cloudy skies and strong solar heating that supports a daytime maximum near 37–38°C on August 16. Subtropical monsoon humidity and Chongqing’s urban heat-island effect amplify surface warming, while light winds limit mixing and any brief convective clouds or moisture advection could shave 1–2°C. Historical August peaks frequently reach 38–40°C, yet current model spread centers probabilities on 37–38°C, with upside risk only if subsidence strengthens further. Updated CMA guidance and 48-hour ensemble outputs expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine resolution criteria.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado


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