Trader consensus reflects substantial uncertainty between 36°C and 37°C as the likely peak temperature in Guangzhou on August 19, with closely matched implied probabilities driven by spread across short-range ensemble forecasts. Regional models highlight typical August subtropical conditions in the Pearl River Delta, where high humidity, urban heat island effects, and variable cloud cover from monsoon moisture can shift afternoon maxima by 1–2°C. Key differentiating factors include the strength of sea breezes, potential for convective cloud development, and any late-stage tropical moisture that could moderate or enhance surface heating. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles through the evening of August 18 are expected to refine the outlook ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Guangzhou em 19 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Guangzhou em 19 de agosto?
36°C 42%
37°C 39%
38°C 11%
35°C 8%
NOVO
NOVO
19 ago 2026
30°C ou menos
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
1%
33°C
2%
34°C
3%
35°C
8%
36°C
42%
37°C
39%
38°C
11%
39°C
3%
40°C ou mais
<1%
36°C 42%
37°C 39%
38°C 11%
35°C 8%
NOVO
NOVO
19 ago 2026
30°C ou menos
$191 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$541 Vol.
1%
32°C
$424 Vol.
1%
33°C
$264 Vol.
2%
34°C
$255 Vol.
3%
35°C
$226 Vol.
8%
36°C
$777 Vol.
42%
37°C
$1,128 Vol.
39%
38°C
$704 Vol.
11%
39°C
$312 Vol.
3%
40°C ou mais
$672 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus reflects substantial uncertainty between 36°C and 37°C as the likely peak temperature in Guangzhou on August 19, with closely matched implied probabilities driven by spread across short-range ensemble forecasts. Regional models highlight typical August subtropical conditions in the Pearl River Delta, where high humidity, urban heat island effects, and variable cloud cover from monsoon moisture can shift afternoon maxima by 1–2°C. Key differentiating factors include the strength of sea breezes, potential for convective cloud development, and any late-stage tropical moisture that could moderate or enhance surface heating. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles through the evening of August 18 are expected to refine the outlook ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 17, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$5,493Data de Término
19 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 17, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus reflects substantial uncertainty between 36°C and 37°C as the likely peak temperature in Guangzhou on August 19, with closely matched implied probabilities driven by spread across short-range ensemble forecasts. Regional models highlight typical August subtropical conditions in the Pearl River Delta, where high humidity, urban heat island effects, and variable cloud cover from monsoon moisture can shift afternoon maxima by 1–2°C. Key differentiating factors include the strength of sea breezes, potential for convective cloud development, and any late-stage tropical moisture that could moderate or enhance surface heating. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles through the evening of August 18 are expected to refine the outlook ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$5,493Data de Término
19 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 17, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus reflects substantial uncertainty between 36°C and 37°C as the likely peak temperature in Guangzhou on August 19, with closely matched implied probabilities driven by spread across short-range ensemble forecasts. Regional models highlight typical August subtropical conditions in the Pearl River Delta, where high humidity, urban heat island effects, and variable cloud cover from monsoon moisture can shift afternoon maxima by 1–2°C. Key differentiating factors include the strength of sea breezes, potential for convective cloud development, and any late-stage tropical moisture that could moderate or enhance surface heating. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles through the evening of August 18 are expected to refine the outlook ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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