Stable high-pressure systems over southeastern Brazil produced clear skies, light winds, and strong daytime solar heating across São Paulo on August 17, driving afternoon temperatures to a measured maximum of 29°C according to official INMET observations. This outcome aligned with ensemble forecasts from INMET and international models that projected 28–30°C peaks well above the August climatological average of roughly 23–25°C, with negligible precipitation risk and minimal boundary-layer mixing. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 29°C reflects the narrow spread in verified data and the absence of synoptic features capable of altering the result. Only substantial revisions to station readings or unexpected late-day cooling could realistically shift resolution criteria, though current measurements show no such deviation.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em São Paulo no dia 17 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em São Paulo no dia 17 de agosto?
29°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$52,572 Vol.
$52,572 Vol.
17 ago 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
100%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
29°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$52,572 Vol.
$52,572 Vol.
17 ago 2026
22°C or below
$4,951 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$2,973 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$7,571 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$8,074 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$3,790 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$3,679 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$3,774 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$6,001 Vol.
100%
30°C
$4,233 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$5,138 Vol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$2,388 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Stable high-pressure systems over southeastern Brazil produced clear skies, light winds, and strong daytime solar heating across São Paulo on August 17, driving afternoon temperatures to a measured maximum of 29°C according to official INMET observations. This outcome aligned with ensemble forecasts from INMET and international models that projected 28–30°C peaks well above the August climatological average of roughly 23–25°C, with negligible precipitation risk and minimal boundary-layer mixing. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 29°C reflects the narrow spread in verified data and the absence of synoptic features capable of altering the result. Only substantial revisions to station readings or unexpected late-day cooling could realistically shift resolution criteria, though current measurements show no such deviation.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 15, 2026, 9:55 PM ET
Volume
$52,572Data de Término
17 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 15, 2026, 9:55 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Stable high-pressure systems over southeastern Brazil produced clear skies, light winds, and strong daytime solar heating across São Paulo on August 17, driving afternoon temperatures to a measured maximum of 29°C according to official INMET observations. This outcome aligned with ensemble forecasts from INMET and international models that projected 28–30°C peaks well above the August climatological average of roughly 23–25°C, with negligible precipitation risk and minimal boundary-layer mixing. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 29°C reflects the narrow spread in verified data and the absence of synoptic features capable of altering the result. Only substantial revisions to station readings or unexpected late-day cooling could realistically shift resolution criteria, though current measurements show no such deviation.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$52,572Data de Término
17 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 15, 2026, 9:55 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Stable high-pressure systems over southeastern Brazil produced clear skies, light winds, and strong daytime solar heating across São Paulo on August 17, driving afternoon temperatures to a measured maximum of 29°C according to official INMET observations. This outcome aligned with ensemble forecasts from INMET and international models that projected 28–30°C peaks well above the August climatological average of roughly 23–25°C, with negligible precipitation risk and minimal boundary-layer mixing. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 29°C reflects the narrow spread in verified data and the absence of synoptic features capable of altering the result. Only substantial revisions to station readings or unexpected late-day cooling could realistically shift resolution criteria, though current measurements show no such deviation.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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