Recent meteorological forecasts for São Paulo indicate a warmer-than-average winter day driven by southerly flow and reduced cloud cover, positioning a daily maximum near 31°C as the consensus outcome. Official guidance from regional models highlights daytime highs climbing from morning lows around 16°C under predominantly sunny conditions, consistent with observed temperatures already approaching 30°C in early observations. This setup aligns with the market's 55% implied probability on 31°C and secondary support at 30°C and 32°C, reflecting limited model spread and historical precedent for occasional late-winter warm anomalies exceeding the 25°C seasonal average. No major shifts in steering patterns or precipitation are expected before evening, keeping the temperature band narrow.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em São Paulo no dia 18 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em São Paulo no dia 18 de agosto?
31°C 60%
30°C 25%
32°C 14%
29°C 5%
NOVO
NOVO
18 ago 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
5%
30°C
25%
31°C
60%
32°C
14%
33°C
3%
34°C or higher
1%
31°C 60%
30°C 25%
32°C 14%
29°C 5%
NOVO
NOVO
18 ago 2026
24°C or below
$40 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$40 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$200 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$234 Vol.
1%
28°C
$338 Vol.
2%
29°C
$916 Vol.
5%
30°C
$1,922 Vol.
25%
31°C
$2,222 Vol.
60%
32°C
$961 Vol.
14%
33°C
$542 Vol.
3%
34°C or higher
$331 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological forecasts for São Paulo indicate a warmer-than-average winter day driven by southerly flow and reduced cloud cover, positioning a daily maximum near 31°C as the consensus outcome. Official guidance from regional models highlights daytime highs climbing from morning lows around 16°C under predominantly sunny conditions, consistent with observed temperatures already approaching 30°C in early observations. This setup aligns with the market's 55% implied probability on 31°C and secondary support at 30°C and 32°C, reflecting limited model spread and historical precedent for occasional late-winter warm anomalies exceeding the 25°C seasonal average. No major shifts in steering patterns or precipitation are expected before evening, keeping the temperature band narrow.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 16, 2026, 9:55 PM ET
Volume
$7,747Data de Término
18 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 16, 2026, 9:55 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological forecasts for São Paulo indicate a warmer-than-average winter day driven by southerly flow and reduced cloud cover, positioning a daily maximum near 31°C as the consensus outcome. Official guidance from regional models highlights daytime highs climbing from morning lows around 16°C under predominantly sunny conditions, consistent with observed temperatures already approaching 30°C in early observations. This setup aligns with the market's 55% implied probability on 31°C and secondary support at 30°C and 32°C, reflecting limited model spread and historical precedent for occasional late-winter warm anomalies exceeding the 25°C seasonal average. No major shifts in steering patterns or precipitation are expected before evening, keeping the temperature band narrow.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$7,747Data de Término
18 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 16, 2026, 9:55 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent meteorological forecasts for São Paulo indicate a warmer-than-average winter day driven by southerly flow and reduced cloud cover, positioning a daily maximum near 31°C as the consensus outcome. Official guidance from regional models highlights daytime highs climbing from morning lows around 16°C under predominantly sunny conditions, consistent with observed temperatures already approaching 30°C in early observations. This setup aligns with the market's 55% implied probability on 31°C and secondary support at 30°C and 32°C, reflecting limited model spread and historical precedent for occasional late-winter warm anomalies exceeding the 25°C seasonal average. No major shifts in steering patterns or precipitation are expected before evening, keeping the temperature band narrow.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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