Recent official guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration indicates a transition to mostly clear skies under building high pressure after monsoon showers from August 14–17, supporting a potential daytime maximum near 33°C for Incheon. However, market-implied odds concentrate on 29–30°C because ensemble models and shorter-range updates show moderating influences such as residual boundary-layer moisture, variable cloud timing, and light winds that limit peak heating. Historical August averages for the region hover near 29°C, and traders appear to weight the possibility of slight underperformance relative to the headline forecast, especially given observed spreads in real-time guidance and the resolution criteria tied to official station readings.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Seul (Incheon) em 18 de agosto?
30°C 63%
29°C 28%
31°C 14%
32°C 1.4%
$77,942 Vol.
$77,942 Vol.
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
23%
30°C
63%
31°C
14%
32°C
1%
33°C or higher
1%
30°C 63%
29°C 28%
31°C 14%
32°C 1.4%
$77,942 Vol.
$77,942 Vol.
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
23%
30°C
63%
31°C
14%
32°C
1%
33°C or higher
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration indicates a transition to mostly clear skies under building high pressure after monsoon showers from August 14–17, supporting a potential daytime maximum near 33°C for Incheon. However, market-implied odds concentrate on 29–30°C because ensemble models and shorter-range updates show moderating influences such as residual boundary-layer moisture, variable cloud timing, and light winds that limit peak heating. Historical August averages for the region hover near 29°C, and traders appear to weight the possibility of slight underperformance relative to the headline forecast, especially given observed spreads in real-time guidance and the resolution criteria tied to official station readings.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions