Official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration project a 24°C minimum overnight low for the Seoul-Incheon area on August 19, 2026, with supporting guidance from timeanddate.com aligning near that threshold amid mostly cloudy skies and light southerly winds. This consensus drives the closely matched market-implied probabilities for 24°C (42.5%) and 25°C (40.0%), reflecting trader assessment of typical late-August radiative cooling patterns under humid conditions, where urban heat retention and regional sea-breeze moderation often produce lows in the 23–26°C range. Minor model spread around cloud cover and precipitation timing creates the narrow differentiation between these outcomes, while historical climatology shows August overnight averages near 23–24°C with low variance absent major frontal passages. Updated KMA briefings and station observations at Incheon International Airport will refine resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Seul (Incheon) em 19 de agosto?
25°C 44%
24°C 43%
23°C 10%
26°C 7%
19°C ou menos
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
2%
23°C
10%
24°C
43%
25°C
44%
26°C
7%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C ou mais
<1%
25°C 44%
24°C 43%
23°C 10%
26°C 7%
19°C ou menos
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
2%
23°C
10%
24°C
43%
25°C
44%
26°C
7%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C ou mais
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 17, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration project a 24°C minimum overnight low for the Seoul-Incheon area on August 19, 2026, with supporting guidance from timeanddate.com aligning near that threshold amid mostly cloudy skies and light southerly winds. This consensus drives the closely matched market-implied probabilities for 24°C (42.5%) and 25°C (40.0%), reflecting trader assessment of typical late-August radiative cooling patterns under humid conditions, where urban heat retention and regional sea-breeze moderation often produce lows in the 23–26°C range. Minor model spread around cloud cover and precipitation timing creates the narrow differentiation between these outcomes, while historical climatology shows August overnight averages near 23–24°C with low variance absent major frontal passages. Updated KMA briefings and station observations at Incheon International Airport will refine resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado

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