The market's emphasis on 28–30°C stems primarily from the active southwest monsoon, which is expected to increase cloud cover and scattered rainfall over Manila on August 19, limiting daytime heating below the typical 30–31°C August average. PAGASA's latest outlook projects a high near 31°C with a 60% rain probability, aligning with subseasonal guidance for slightly warmer-than-normal conditions offset by monsoon moisture and thunderstorms. This setup favors the 29°C outcome as traders weigh model consensus on convective cooling against historical baselines, with fresh official updates from PAGASA and AccuWeather poised to refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Manila em 19 de agosto?
29°C 39%
28°C 23%
30°C 20%
27°C 7%
22°C ou menos
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
2%
26°C
4%
27°C
7%
28°C
23%
29°C
39%
30°C
20%
31°C
6%
32°C ou mais
3%
29°C 39%
28°C 23%
30°C 20%
27°C 7%
22°C ou menos
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
2%
26°C
4%
27°C
7%
28°C
23%
29°C
39%
30°C
20%
31°C
6%
32°C ou mais
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 17, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...The market's emphasis on 28–30°C stems primarily from the active southwest monsoon, which is expected to increase cloud cover and scattered rainfall over Manila on August 19, limiting daytime heating below the typical 30–31°C August average. PAGASA's latest outlook projects a high near 31°C with a 60% rain probability, aligning with subseasonal guidance for slightly warmer-than-normal conditions offset by monsoon moisture and thunderstorms. This setup favors the 29°C outcome as traders weigh model consensus on convective cooling against historical baselines, with fresh official updates from PAGASA and AccuWeather poised to refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado


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