The market has converged on 25°C as the highest temperature in Munich on August 29 because official observations from the Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) weather station network recorded that peak value under clear skies and light winds typical of late-summer high-pressure conditions. Historical climatology for the region shows August daily maxima averaging near 23–24°C, so this reading aligns with expected seasonal norms without extreme heat advection. Trader consensus reflects verified station data rather than forecasts, leaving little room for revision unless post-event quality-control adjustments or alternative station readings differ by more than rounding thresholds. No significant model discrepancies or measurement uncertainties remain at this stage.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Munique em 29 de agosto?
25°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$62,566 Vol.
$62,566 Vol.
19°C or below
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
Yes
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C or higher
No
25°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$62,566 Vol.
$62,566 Vol.
19°C or below
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
Yes
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: No
Sem contestação
Resultado final: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: No
Sem contestação
Resultado final: No
The market has converged on 25°C as the highest temperature in Munich on August 29 because official observations from the Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) weather station network recorded that peak value under clear skies and light winds typical of late-summer high-pressure conditions. Historical climatology for the region shows August daily maxima averaging near 23–24°C, so this reading aligns with expected seasonal norms without extreme heat advection. Trader consensus reflects verified station data rather than forecasts, leaving little room for revision unless post-event quality-control adjustments or alternative station readings differ by more than rounding thresholds. No significant model discrepancies or measurement uncertainties remain at this stage.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
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