National Weather Service model consensus and observations under a strong upper-level ridge produced subsidence, clear skies, and intense daytime heating that drove Austin’s peak temperature to 102–103°F on August 17. This outcome aligns with climatological norms for mid-August, when average highs near 99–100°F and triple-digit readings occur regularly during the region’s hottest period. Traders converged on the narrow bin because official station data (Austin Bergstrom or Camp Mabry) fell squarely inside it, with minimal deviation from forecast guidance. A realistic challenge would require either a late-day thunderstorm or thicker cloud cover that suppressed the maximum by several degrees, or an unexpected revision in the final verified reading.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Austin no dia 17 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Austin no dia 17 de agosto?
102–103°F 100.0%
93°F ou menos <1%
94-95°F <1%
96-97°F <1%
$31,618 Vol.
$31,618 Vol.
17 ago 2026
93°F ou menos
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
<1%
98-99°F
<1%
100-101°F
<1%
102–103°F
100%
104-105°F
<1%
106-107°F
<1%
108-109°F
<1%
110-111°F
<1%
112°F ou mais
<1%
102–103°F 100.0%
93°F ou menos <1%
94-95°F <1%
96-97°F <1%
$31,618 Vol.
$31,618 Vol.
17 ago 2026
93°F ou menos
$191 Vol.
<1%
94-95°F
$443 Vol.
<1%
96-97°F
$1,430 Vol.
<1%
98-99°F
$1,879 Vol.
<1%
100-101°F
$11,704 Vol.
<1%
102–103°F
$5,807 Vol.
100%
104-105°F
$4,024 Vol.
<1%
106-107°F
$3,090 Vol.
<1%
108-109°F
$2,033 Vol.
<1%
110-111°F
$370 Vol.
<1%
112°F ou mais
$646 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service model consensus and observations under a strong upper-level ridge produced subsidence, clear skies, and intense daytime heating that drove Austin’s peak temperature to 102–103°F on August 17. This outcome aligns with climatological norms for mid-August, when average highs near 99–100°F and triple-digit readings occur regularly during the region’s hottest period. Traders converged on the narrow bin because official station data (Austin Bergstrom or Camp Mabry) fell squarely inside it, with minimal deviation from forecast guidance. A realistic challenge would require either a late-day thunderstorm or thicker cloud cover that suppressed the maximum by several degrees, or an unexpected revision in the final verified reading.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 15, 2026, 9:56 PM ET
Volume
$31,618Data de Término
17 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 15, 2026, 9:56 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service model consensus and observations under a strong upper-level ridge produced subsidence, clear skies, and intense daytime heating that drove Austin’s peak temperature to 102–103°F on August 17. This outcome aligns with climatological norms for mid-August, when average highs near 99–100°F and triple-digit readings occur regularly during the region’s hottest period. Traders converged on the narrow bin because official station data (Austin Bergstrom or Camp Mabry) fell squarely inside it, with minimal deviation from forecast guidance. A realistic challenge would require either a late-day thunderstorm or thicker cloud cover that suppressed the maximum by several degrees, or an unexpected revision in the final verified reading.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$31,618Data de Término
17 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 15, 2026, 9:56 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service model consensus and observations under a strong upper-level ridge produced subsidence, clear skies, and intense daytime heating that drove Austin’s peak temperature to 102–103°F on August 17. This outcome aligns with climatological norms for mid-August, when average highs near 99–100°F and triple-digit readings occur regularly during the region’s hottest period. Traders converged on the narrow bin because official station data (Austin Bergstrom or Camp Mabry) fell squarely inside it, with minimal deviation from forecast guidance. A realistic challenge would require either a late-day thunderstorm or thicker cloud cover that suppressed the maximum by several degrees, or an unexpected revision in the final verified reading.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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