Ongoing containment of the localized Bundibugyo virus Ebola outbreak in the Democratic Republic of the Congo and Uganda, which began in May 2026 with roughly 4,700 confirmed cases and over 2,100 deaths as of mid-August, underpins traders' strong consensus against a 2026 pandemic. Official CDC and WHO assessments classify overall risk to the U.S. and global public as low, citing limited cross-border spread confined mainly to neighboring areas, effective surveillance and isolation measures, and the absence of sustained transmission in urban international hubs. Historical Ebola patterns show most outbreaks remain regionally contained when public health responses scale rapidly. Realistic scenarios that could elevate pandemic risk include accelerated spread into major cities, increased transmissibility, or sustained conflict disrupting response efforts, though current epidemiological indicators and model projections do not support these developments.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoEbola pandemic in 2026?
Ebola pandemic in 2026?
4% chance
$692,078 Vol.
$692,078 Vol.
31 dez 2026
4% chance
$692,078 Vol.
$692,078 Vol.
31 dez 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Ebola virus disease, Ebola, any Ebola strain, or any outbreak of ebola as a “pandemic” in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a “pandemic.” A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ongoing containment of the localized Bundibugyo virus Ebola outbreak in the Democratic Republic of the Congo and Uganda, which began in May 2026 with roughly 4,700 confirmed cases and over 2,100 deaths as of mid-August, underpins traders' strong consensus against a 2026 pandemic. Official CDC and WHO assessments classify overall risk to the U.S. and global public as low, citing limited cross-border spread confined mainly to neighboring areas, effective surveillance and isolation measures, and the absence of sustained transmission in urban international hubs. Historical Ebola patterns show most outbreaks remain regionally contained when public health responses scale rapidly. Realistic scenarios that could elevate pandemic risk include accelerated spread into major cities, increased transmissibility, or sustained conflict disrupting response efforts, though current epidemiological indicators and model projections do not support these developments.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Ebola virus disease, Ebola, any Ebola strain, or any outbreak of ebola as a “pandemic” in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a “pandemic.” A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a “pandemic.” A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: May 15, 2026, 3:03 PM ET
Volume
$692,078Data de Término
31 dez 2026Mercado Aberto
May 15, 2026, 3:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Ebola virus disease, Ebola, any Ebola strain, or any outbreak of ebola as a “pandemic” in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a “pandemic.” A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ongoing containment of the localized Bundibugyo virus Ebola outbreak in the Democratic Republic of the Congo and Uganda, which began in May 2026 with roughly 4,700 confirmed cases and over 2,100 deaths as of mid-August, underpins traders' strong consensus against a 2026 pandemic. Official CDC and WHO assessments classify overall risk to the U.S. and global public as low, citing limited cross-border spread confined mainly to neighboring areas, effective surveillance and isolation measures, and the absence of sustained transmission in urban international hubs. Historical Ebola patterns show most outbreaks remain regionally contained when public health responses scale rapidly. Realistic scenarios that could elevate pandemic risk include accelerated spread into major cities, increased transmissibility, or sustained conflict disrupting response efforts, though current epidemiological indicators and model projections do not support these developments.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Ebola virus disease, Ebola, any Ebola strain, or any outbreak of ebola as a “pandemic” in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a “pandemic.” A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a “pandemic.” A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$692,078Data de Término
31 dez 2026Mercado Aberto
May 15, 2026, 3:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing containment of the localized Bundibugyo virus Ebola outbreak in the Democratic Republic of the Congo and Uganda, which began in May 2026 with roughly 4,700 confirmed cases and over 2,100 deaths as of mid-August, underpins traders' strong consensus against a 2026 pandemic. Official CDC and WHO assessments classify overall risk to the U.S. and global public as low, citing limited cross-border spread confined mainly to neighboring areas, effective surveillance and isolation measures, and the absence of sustained transmission in urban international hubs. Historical Ebola patterns show most outbreaks remain regionally contained when public health responses scale rapidly. Realistic scenarios that could elevate pandemic risk include accelerated spread into major cities, increased transmissibility, or sustained conflict disrupting response efforts, though current epidemiological indicators and model projections do not support these developments.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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