Strong trader consensus around a 94.5% probability of no new pandemic in 2026 stems from mid-August surveillance data showing no novel pathogen with sustained global human-to-human transmission. Regional outbreaks, including the WHO-declared PHEIC for Bundibugyo Ebola in the DRC and Uganda, plus localized surges in measles, dengue, and mpox clade I, have remained geographically contained without exponential international spread. Post-COVID gains in genomic sequencing and early-warning systems have reduced escalation risks from potential zoonotic spillovers. Realistic challenges include undetected viral evolution in animal reservoirs or rapid airborne adaptation enabling wider transmission before year-end.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoSim
6% chance
$1,018,462 Vol.
$1,018,462 Vol.
31 dez 2026
Sim
6% chance
$1,018,462 Vol.
$1,018,462 Vol.
31 dez 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization (WHO) declares any disease a pandemic between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official announcements from the World Health Organization.Strong trader consensus around a 94.5% probability of no new pandemic in 2026 stems from mid-August surveillance data showing no novel pathogen with sustained global human-to-human transmission. Regional outbreaks, including the WHO-declared PHEIC for Bundibugyo Ebola in the DRC and Uganda, plus localized surges in measles, dengue, and mpox clade I, have remained geographically contained without exponential international spread. Post-COVID gains in genomic sequencing and early-warning systems have reduced escalation risks from potential zoonotic spillovers. Realistic challenges include undetected viral evolution in animal reservoirs or rapid airborne adaptation enabling wider transmission before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization (WHO) declares any disease a pandemic between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official announcements from the World Health Organization.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the World Health Organization.
Mercado Aberto: Dec 1, 2025, 4:37 PM ET
Volume
$1,018,462Data de Término
31 dez 2026Mercado Aberto
Dec 1, 2025, 4:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization (WHO) declares any disease a pandemic between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official announcements from the World Health Organization.Strong trader consensus around a 94.5% probability of no new pandemic in 2026 stems from mid-August surveillance data showing no novel pathogen with sustained global human-to-human transmission. Regional outbreaks, including the WHO-declared PHEIC for Bundibugyo Ebola in the DRC and Uganda, plus localized surges in measles, dengue, and mpox clade I, have remained geographically contained without exponential international spread. Post-COVID gains in genomic sequencing and early-warning systems have reduced escalation risks from potential zoonotic spillovers. Realistic challenges include undetected viral evolution in animal reservoirs or rapid airborne adaptation enabling wider transmission before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization (WHO) declares any disease a pandemic between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official announcements from the World Health Organization.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the World Health Organization.
Volume
$1,018,462Data de Término
31 dez 2026Mercado Aberto
Dec 1, 2025, 4:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Strong trader consensus around a 94.5% probability of no new pandemic in 2026 stems from mid-August surveillance data showing no novel pathogen with sustained global human-to-human transmission. Regional outbreaks, including the WHO-declared PHEIC for Bundibugyo Ebola in the DRC and Uganda, plus localized surges in measles, dengue, and mpox clade I, have remained geographically contained without exponential international spread. Post-COVID gains in genomic sequencing and early-warning systems have reduced escalation risks from potential zoonotic spillovers. Realistic challenges include undetected viral evolution in animal reservoirs or rapid airborne adaptation enabling wider transmission before year-end.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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