Traders see the lowest temperature in Cape Town on September 13 clustering tightly around 14–16°C because official forecasts and model outputs from sources like the South African Weather Service and GFS show overnight minima in that narrow band amid persistent cloud cover and light southeasterly winds. These conditions limit radiational cooling while variable Atlantic moisture and possible brief showers add uncertainty to the exact hourly low, with some runs dipping to 14°C and others holding near 15–16°C. Historical September averages near 10–12°C make the current mild spring setup notable, but near-term model consensus and ongoing observations keep the market-implied probabilities for 14°C, 15°C, and 16°C within a few points of each other.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Cape Town on September 13?
Lowest temperature in Cape Town on September 13?
11°C or below 81%
12°C 81%
14°C 53%
15°C 44%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 13, 2026
11°C or below
81%
12°C
81%
13°C
41%
14°C
53%
15°C
44%
16°C
44%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
11°C or below 81%
12°C 81%
14°C 53%
15°C 44%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 13, 2026
11°C or below
$0 Wol.
81%
12°C
$102 Wol.
81%
13°C
$142 Wol.
41%
14°C
$0 Wol.
53%
15°C
$0 Wol.
44%
16°C
$0 Wol.
44%
17°C
$306 Wol.
<1%
18°C
$25 Wol.
<1%
19°C
$25 Wol.
<1%
20°C
$25 Wol.
<1%
21°C or higher
$25 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see the lowest temperature in Cape Town on September 13 clustering tightly around 14–16°C because official forecasts and model outputs from sources like the South African Weather Service and GFS show overnight minima in that narrow band amid persistent cloud cover and light southeasterly winds. These conditions limit radiational cooling while variable Atlantic moisture and possible brief showers add uncertainty to the exact hourly low, with some runs dipping to 14°C and others holding near 15–16°C. Historical September averages near 10–12°C make the current mild spring setup notable, but near-term model consensus and ongoing observations keep the market-implied probabilities for 14°C, 15°C, and 16°C within a few points of each other.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 11, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Wolumen
$650Data zakończenia
Sep 13, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 11, 2026, 12:31 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see the lowest temperature in Cape Town on September 13 clustering tightly around 14–16°C because official forecasts and model outputs from sources like the South African Weather Service and GFS show overnight minima in that narrow band amid persistent cloud cover and light southeasterly winds. These conditions limit radiational cooling while variable Atlantic moisture and possible brief showers add uncertainty to the exact hourly low, with some runs dipping to 14°C and others holding near 15–16°C. Historical September averages near 10–12°C make the current mild spring setup notable, but near-term model consensus and ongoing observations keep the market-implied probabilities for 14°C, 15°C, and 16°C within a few points of each other.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$650Data zakończenia
Sep 13, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 11, 2026, 12:31 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Traders see the lowest temperature in Cape Town on September 13 clustering tightly around 14–16°C because official forecasts and model outputs from sources like the South African Weather Service and GFS show overnight minima in that narrow band amid persistent cloud cover and light southeasterly winds. These conditions limit radiational cooling while variable Atlantic moisture and possible brief showers add uncertainty to the exact hourly low, with some runs dipping to 14°C and others holding near 15–16°C. Historical September averages near 10–12°C make the current mild spring setup notable, but near-term model consensus and ongoing observations keep the market-implied probabilities for 14°C, 15°C, and 16°C within a few points of each other.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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