Trader consensus for Taipei's peak temperature on September 14 centers on the 31–33°C range because recent ensemble forecasts from regional and global models show high uncertainty driven by variable cloud cover, humidity, and weak steering flows under late-summer high pressure. Official observations indicate daytime highs recently hovering near 32°C with minimal frontal influence, supporting the leading 32°C implied probability while leaving room for convective cooling or brief warming that could shift outcomes toward 31°C or 33°C. Updated model runs from Taiwan's Central Weather Bureau and international agencies remain the primary near-term catalyst, as small changes in moisture or insolation before resolution could adjust the final maximum.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Taipei on September 14?
32°C 34%
33°C 24%
31°C 20%
29°C 12%
27°C or below
2%
28°C
3%
29°C
12%
30°C
6%
31°C
20%
32°C
34%
33°C
24%
34°C
7%
35°C
2%
36°C
3%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 34%
33°C 24%
31°C 20%
29°C 12%
27°C or below
2%
28°C
3%
29°C
12%
30°C
6%
31°C
20%
32°C
34%
33°C
24%
34°C
7%
35°C
2%
36°C
3%
37°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 12, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus for Taipei's peak temperature on September 14 centers on the 31–33°C range because recent ensemble forecasts from regional and global models show high uncertainty driven by variable cloud cover, humidity, and weak steering flows under late-summer high pressure. Official observations indicate daytime highs recently hovering near 32°C with minimal frontal influence, supporting the leading 32°C implied probability while leaving room for convective cooling or brief warming that could shift outcomes toward 31°C or 33°C. Updated model runs from Taiwan's Central Weather Bureau and international agencies remain the primary near-term catalyst, as small changes in moisture or insolation before resolution could adjust the final maximum.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano

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