National Weather Service forecasts indicate sunny skies and a warming trend under strengthening high pressure will drive Seattle's August 4 high into the low-to-mid 80s, aligning with the market's leading 84-85°F outcome at 47.5% implied probability. Recent model runs show temperatures climbing from the mid-70s observed on August 3, with north-to-northwest flow limiting marine influence and supporting daytime maxima near 82-86°F across the Puget Sound region. This positioning reflects the ongoing above-normal summer pattern documented by NOAA's Climate Prediction Center, though afternoon sea breezes or minor model spread could keep readings closer to 82-83°F. Traders appear to weigh these official guidance updates heavily ahead of final observations.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Seattle on August 4?
Highest temperature in Seattle on August 4?
84-85°F 44%
82-83°F 32%
86-87°F 10%
80-81°F 9%
NOWE
$10,240 Wol.
NOWE
$10,240 Wol.
Aug 4, 2026
75°F or below
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
9%
82-83°F
32%
84-85°F
44%
86-87°F
10%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
<1%
94°F or higher
<1%
84-85°F 44%
82-83°F 32%
86-87°F 10%
80-81°F 9%
NOWE
$10,240 Wol.
NOWE
$10,240 Wol.
Aug 4, 2026
75°F or below
$406 Wol.
<1%
76-77°F
$640 Wol.
<1%
78-79°F
$851 Wol.
<1%
80-81°F
$1,981 Wol.
9%
82-83°F
$466 Wol.
32%
84-85°F
$740 Wol.
44%
86-87°F
$2,164 Wol.
10%
88-89°F
$1,748 Wol.
1%
90-91°F
$510 Wol.
1%
92-93°F
$823 Wol.
<1%
94°F or higher
$393 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts indicate sunny skies and a warming trend under strengthening high pressure will drive Seattle's August 4 high into the low-to-mid 80s, aligning with the market's leading 84-85°F outcome at 47.5% implied probability. Recent model runs show temperatures climbing from the mid-70s observed on August 3, with north-to-northwest flow limiting marine influence and supporting daytime maxima near 82-86°F across the Puget Sound region. This positioning reflects the ongoing above-normal summer pattern documented by NOAA's Climate Prediction Center, though afternoon sea breezes or minor model spread could keep readings closer to 82-83°F. Traders appear to weigh these official guidance updates heavily ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 2, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Wolumen
$10,240Data zakończenia
Aug 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 2, 2026, 9:03 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts indicate sunny skies and a warming trend under strengthening high pressure will drive Seattle's August 4 high into the low-to-mid 80s, aligning with the market's leading 84-85°F outcome at 47.5% implied probability. Recent model runs show temperatures climbing from the mid-70s observed on August 3, with north-to-northwest flow limiting marine influence and supporting daytime maxima near 82-86°F across the Puget Sound region. This positioning reflects the ongoing above-normal summer pattern documented by NOAA's Climate Prediction Center, though afternoon sea breezes or minor model spread could keep readings closer to 82-83°F. Traders appear to weigh these official guidance updates heavily ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$10,240Data zakończenia
Aug 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 2, 2026, 9:03 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts indicate sunny skies and a warming trend under strengthening high pressure will drive Seattle's August 4 high into the low-to-mid 80s, aligning with the market's leading 84-85°F outcome at 47.5% implied probability. Recent model runs show temperatures climbing from the mid-70s observed on August 3, with north-to-northwest flow limiting marine influence and supporting daytime maxima near 82-86°F across the Puget Sound region. This positioning reflects the ongoing above-normal summer pattern documented by NOAA's Climate Prediction Center, though afternoon sea breezes or minor model spread could keep readings closer to 82-83°F. Traders appear to weigh these official guidance updates heavily ahead of final observations.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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