Latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs show a building upper-level ridge and offshore flow promoting sunny skies and above-normal warmth for Seattle on August 5, with forecast highs centered in the upper 80s. This setup, amid an El Niño-influenced warmer-than-average summer, supports the tight clustering between 88–91°F outcomes by limiting marine-layer cooling while allowing daytime heating under clear conditions. Subtle differences in ridge timing, wind speeds, and any residual smoke or thin clouds could shift the actual maximum by a degree or two, explaining the balanced trader weighting across those bins versus lower probabilities for 86°F or below. Updated model runs and the next NWS forecast discussion will provide the clearest near-term signal.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Seattle on August 5?
Highest temperature in Seattle on August 5?
90-91°F 37%
88-89°F 35%
86-87°F 20%
84-85°F 7%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 5, 2026
79°F or below
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
7%
86-87°F
20%
88-89°F
35%
90-91°F
37%
92-93°F
6%
94-95°F
1%
96-97°F
<1%
98°F or higher
<1%
90-91°F 37%
88-89°F 35%
86-87°F 20%
84-85°F 7%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 5, 2026
79°F or below
$99 Wol.
<1%
80-81°F
$100 Wol.
<1%
82-83°F
$710 Wol.
<1%
84-85°F
$219 Wol.
7%
86-87°F
$440 Wol.
20%
88-89°F
$101 Wol.
35%
90-91°F
$785 Wol.
37%
92-93°F
$208 Wol.
6%
94-95°F
$33 Wol.
1%
96-97°F
$418 Wol.
<1%
98°F or higher
$189 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs show a building upper-level ridge and offshore flow promoting sunny skies and above-normal warmth for Seattle on August 5, with forecast highs centered in the upper 80s. This setup, amid an El Niño-influenced warmer-than-average summer, supports the tight clustering between 88–91°F outcomes by limiting marine-layer cooling while allowing daytime heating under clear conditions. Subtle differences in ridge timing, wind speeds, and any residual smoke or thin clouds could shift the actual maximum by a degree or two, explaining the balanced trader weighting across those bins versus lower probabilities for 86°F or below. Updated model runs and the next NWS forecast discussion will provide the clearest near-term signal.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 3, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Wolumen
$2,762Data zakończenia
Aug 5, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 3, 2026, 9:02 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs show a building upper-level ridge and offshore flow promoting sunny skies and above-normal warmth for Seattle on August 5, with forecast highs centered in the upper 80s. This setup, amid an El Niño-influenced warmer-than-average summer, supports the tight clustering between 88–91°F outcomes by limiting marine-layer cooling while allowing daytime heating under clear conditions. Subtle differences in ridge timing, wind speeds, and any residual smoke or thin clouds could shift the actual maximum by a degree or two, explaining the balanced trader weighting across those bins versus lower probabilities for 86°F or below. Updated model runs and the next NWS forecast discussion will provide the clearest near-term signal.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$2,762Data zakończenia
Aug 5, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 3, 2026, 9:02 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs show a building upper-level ridge and offshore flow promoting sunny skies and above-normal warmth for Seattle on August 5, with forecast highs centered in the upper 80s. This setup, amid an El Niño-influenced warmer-than-average summer, supports the tight clustering between 88–91°F outcomes by limiting marine-layer cooling while allowing daytime heating under clear conditions. Subtle differences in ridge timing, wind speeds, and any residual smoke or thin clouds could shift the actual maximum by a degree or two, explaining the balanced trader weighting across those bins versus lower probabilities for 86°F or below. Updated model runs and the next NWS forecast discussion will provide the clearest near-term signal.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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