Recent model consensus from meteorological agencies indicates Shanghai's minimum temperature on August 6 will likely fall in the 27–28°C range, consistent with the market's leading outcomes at 41% and 24.5% implied probability. Persistent summer heat and high humidity under subtropical monsoon conditions, with recent daily lows near 26–27°C and no significant frontal systems or typhoon influences expected, support this positioning. Climatological baselines show early-August overnight lows averaging 25–26°C, but the current warm anomaly and limited cooling potential from cloud cover or precipitation keep probabilities concentrated above 26°C while leaving modest room for variance from forecast updates.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Shanghai on August 6?
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on August 6?
28°C 42%
27°C 25%
29°C 18%
26°C 4%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 6, 2026
22°C or below
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
4%
26°C
4%
27°C
25%
28°C
42%
29°C
18%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
1%
28°C 42%
27°C 25%
29°C 18%
26°C 4%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 6, 2026
22°C or below
$0 Wol.
1%
23°C
$15 Wol.
1%
24°C
$57 Wol.
1%
25°C
$0 Wol.
4%
26°C
$15 Wol.
4%
27°C
$24 Wol.
25%
28°C
$66 Wol.
42%
29°C
$31 Wol.
18%
30°C
$52 Wol.
1%
31°C
$10 Wol.
1%
32°C or higher
$0 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from meteorological agencies indicates Shanghai's minimum temperature on August 6 will likely fall in the 27–28°C range, consistent with the market's leading outcomes at 41% and 24.5% implied probability. Persistent summer heat and high humidity under subtropical monsoon conditions, with recent daily lows near 26–27°C and no significant frontal systems or typhoon influences expected, support this positioning. Climatological baselines show early-August overnight lows averaging 25–26°C, but the current warm anomaly and limited cooling potential from cloud cover or precipitation keep probabilities concentrated above 26°C while leaving modest room for variance from forecast updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Wolumen
$271Data zakończenia
Aug 6, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from meteorological agencies indicates Shanghai's minimum temperature on August 6 will likely fall in the 27–28°C range, consistent with the market's leading outcomes at 41% and 24.5% implied probability. Persistent summer heat and high humidity under subtropical monsoon conditions, with recent daily lows near 26–27°C and no significant frontal systems or typhoon influences expected, support this positioning. Climatological baselines show early-August overnight lows averaging 25–26°C, but the current warm anomaly and limited cooling potential from cloud cover or precipitation keep probabilities concentrated above 26°C while leaving modest room for variance from forecast updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$271Data zakończenia
Aug 6, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from meteorological agencies indicates Shanghai's minimum temperature on August 6 will likely fall in the 27–28°C range, consistent with the market's leading outcomes at 41% and 24.5% implied probability. Persistent summer heat and high humidity under subtropical monsoon conditions, with recent daily lows near 26–27°C and no significant frontal systems or typhoon influences expected, support this positioning. Climatological baselines show early-August overnight lows averaging 25–26°C, but the current warm anomaly and limited cooling potential from cloud cover or precipitation keep probabilities concentrated above 26°C while leaving modest room for variance from forecast updates.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania