National Weather Service forecasts for Austin on August 4 project a high near 101°F under mostly sunny skies, with heat indices potentially reaching 106°F amid south-southeast winds of 5–10 mph. This setup favors peak radiative heating without significant cloud cover or precipitation to limit warming, consistent with typical late-summer climatology where daily maxima often range 96–102°F. The near-even market split between 98–99°F and 100–101°F stems from minor divergences in model guidance on afternoon mixing and exact wind strength, which can shift the observed high by 1–2°F at official stations like Austin Bergstrom. Updated NWS briefings and real-time observations will clarify resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Austin on August 4?
98-99°F 45%
100-101°F 45%
102-103°F 6.1%
96-97°F 4%
$15,564 Wol.
$15,564 Wol.
89°F or below
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
1%
96-97°F
4%
98-99°F
45%
100-101°F
45%
102-103°F
6%
104-105°F
2%
106-107°F
<1%
108°F or higher
<1%
98-99°F 45%
100-101°F 45%
102-103°F 6.1%
96-97°F 4%
$15,564 Wol.
$15,564 Wol.
89°F or below
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
1%
96-97°F
4%
98-99°F
45%
100-101°F
45%
102-103°F
6%
104-105°F
2%
106-107°F
<1%
108°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 2, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts for Austin on August 4 project a high near 101°F under mostly sunny skies, with heat indices potentially reaching 106°F amid south-southeast winds of 5–10 mph. This setup favors peak radiative heating without significant cloud cover or precipitation to limit warming, consistent with typical late-summer climatology where daily maxima often range 96–102°F. The near-even market split between 98–99°F and 100–101°F stems from minor divergences in model guidance on afternoon mixing and exact wind strength, which can shift the observed high by 1–2°F at official stations like Austin Bergstrom. Updated NWS briefings and real-time observations will clarify resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano


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