Traders have heavily favored the 76-77°F bin (53% implied probability) for Los Angeles' August 4 high, reflecting a dominant marine layer and persistent onshore flow from the Pacific that suppresses daytime warming along the coast and at LAX. NOAA and NWS model consensus points to a stable air mass with minimal ridging, yielding highs several degrees below the seasonal 84°F average. Recent ensemble runs show little deviation, keeping 78-79°F a distant second (29%) while rendering 80°F+ outcomes unlikely absent rapid warming or offshore flow. This setup aligns with typical early-August coastal climatology, where fog and stratus limit solar heating.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Los Angeles on August 4?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on August 4?
76-77°F 53%
78-79°F 30%
74-75°F 7%
80-81°F 3.7%
$33,280 Wol.
$33,280 Wol.
Aug 4, 2026
69°F or below
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
3%
74-75°F
7%
76-77°F
53%
78-79°F
30%
80-81°F
4%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88°F or higher
<1%
76-77°F 53%
78-79°F 30%
74-75°F 7%
80-81°F 3.7%
$33,280 Wol.
$33,280 Wol.
Aug 4, 2026
69°F or below
$889 Wol.
<1%
70-71°F
$2,205 Wol.
<1%
72-73°F
$4,675 Wol.
3%
74-75°F
$7,609 Wol.
7%
76-77°F
$6,177 Wol.
53%
78-79°F
$5,623 Wol.
30%
80-81°F
$3,711 Wol.
4%
82-83°F
$961 Wol.
<1%
84-85°F
$996 Wol.
<1%
86-87°F
$217 Wol.
<1%
88°F or higher
$217 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders have heavily favored the 76-77°F bin (53% implied probability) for Los Angeles' August 4 high, reflecting a dominant marine layer and persistent onshore flow from the Pacific that suppresses daytime warming along the coast and at LAX. NOAA and NWS model consensus points to a stable air mass with minimal ridging, yielding highs several degrees below the seasonal 84°F average. Recent ensemble runs show little deviation, keeping 78-79°F a distant second (29%) while rendering 80°F+ outcomes unlikely absent rapid warming or offshore flow. This setup aligns with typical early-August coastal climatology, where fog and stratus limit solar heating.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ET
Wolumen
$33,280Data zakończenia
Aug 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders have heavily favored the 76-77°F bin (53% implied probability) for Los Angeles' August 4 high, reflecting a dominant marine layer and persistent onshore flow from the Pacific that suppresses daytime warming along the coast and at LAX. NOAA and NWS model consensus points to a stable air mass with minimal ridging, yielding highs several degrees below the seasonal 84°F average. Recent ensemble runs show little deviation, keeping 78-79°F a distant second (29%) while rendering 80°F+ outcomes unlikely absent rapid warming or offshore flow. This setup aligns with typical early-August coastal climatology, where fog and stratus limit solar heating.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$33,280Data zakończenia
Aug 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders have heavily favored the 76-77°F bin (53% implied probability) for Los Angeles' August 4 high, reflecting a dominant marine layer and persistent onshore flow from the Pacific that suppresses daytime warming along the coast and at LAX. NOAA and NWS model consensus points to a stable air mass with minimal ridging, yielding highs several degrees below the seasonal 84°F average. Recent ensemble runs show little deviation, keeping 78-79°F a distant second (29%) while rendering 80°F+ outcomes unlikely absent rapid warming or offshore flow. This setup aligns with typical early-August coastal climatology, where fog and stratus limit solar heating.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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