Incumbent Democrat Mark Warner seeks a fourth Senate term in Virginia's Class 2 seat, facing Republican nominee Bert Mizusawa following the August 4 primary. Virginia's consistent Democratic tilt in recent federal elections, combined with Warner's long incumbency and established voter base, underpins the market's strong consensus favoring the Democratic outcome. Limited early polling shows Warner ahead by double digits, reflecting standard advantages for sitting senators in the state. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include major shifts in national political conditions, unexpected campaign developments, or turnout surges among Republican-leaning voters in key areas ahead of the November 2026 general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$14,840 Vol.
$14,840 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
94%
共和党
6%
$14,840 Vol.
$14,840 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$9,134 Vol.
94%
共和党
$5,706 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Virginia U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democrat Mark Warner seeks a fourth Senate term in Virginia's Class 2 seat, facing Republican nominee Bert Mizusawa following the August 4 primary. Virginia's consistent Democratic tilt in recent federal elections, combined with Warner's long incumbency and established voter base, underpins the market's strong consensus favoring the Democratic outcome. Limited early polling shows Warner ahead by double digits, reflecting standard advantages for sitting senators in the state. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include major shifts in national political conditions, unexpected campaign developments, or turnout surges among Republican-leaning voters in key areas ahead of the November 2026 general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Virginia U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
マーケット開始日： Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ET
音量
$14,840終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Virginia U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democrat Mark Warner seeks a fourth Senate term in Virginia's Class 2 seat, facing Republican nominee Bert Mizusawa following the August 4 primary. Virginia's consistent Democratic tilt in recent federal elections, combined with Warner's long incumbency and established voter base, underpins the market's strong consensus favoring the Democratic outcome. Limited early polling shows Warner ahead by double digits, reflecting standard advantages for sitting senators in the state. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include major shifts in national political conditions, unexpected campaign developments, or turnout surges among Republican-leaning voters in key areas ahead of the November 2026 general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Virginia U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
音量
$14,840終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Mark Warner seeks a fourth Senate term in Virginia's Class 2 seat, facing Republican nominee Bert Mizusawa following the August 4 primary. Virginia's consistent Democratic tilt in recent federal elections, combined with Warner's long incumbency and established voter base, underpins the market's strong consensus favoring the Democratic outcome. Limited early polling shows Warner ahead by double digits, reflecting standard advantages for sitting senators in the state. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include major shifts in national political conditions, unexpected campaign developments, or turnout surges among Republican-leaning voters in key areas ahead of the November 2026 general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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