Republican incumbent Bob Onder secured his party's nomination in the August 4 primary and enters the November general election against Democrat Bethany Mann in Missouri's 3rd congressional district. The seat's strong Republican tilt, reflected in its partisan voting index and consistent performance in recent cycles, underpins trader consensus favoring the GOP at 91 percent. Forecasters across outlets rate the contest Solid Republican, citing the district's composition spanning St. Charles County and surrounding areas plus Onder's prior margin. Limited Democratic primary competition and absence of major late developments have kept probabilities stable. A significant national Democratic wave, unexpected scandal involving the incumbent, or unusually high opposition turnout could narrow the gap, though structural factors make such shifts improbable before Election Day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$21,100 Vol.
$21,100 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
91%
民主党
8%
$21,100 Vol.
$21,100 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$6,172 Vol.
91%
民主党
$14,928 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Bob Onder secured his party's nomination in the August 4 primary and enters the November general election against Democrat Bethany Mann in Missouri's 3rd congressional district. The seat's strong Republican tilt, reflected in its partisan voting index and consistent performance in recent cycles, underpins trader consensus favoring the GOP at 91 percent. Forecasters across outlets rate the contest Solid Republican, citing the district's composition spanning St. Charles County and surrounding areas plus Onder's prior margin. Limited Democratic primary competition and absence of major late developments have kept probabilities stable. A significant national Democratic wave, unexpected scandal involving the incumbent, or unusually high opposition turnout could narrow the gap, though structural factors make such shifts improbable before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
音量
$21,100終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Bob Onder secured his party's nomination in the August 4 primary and enters the November general election against Democrat Bethany Mann in Missouri's 3rd congressional district. The seat's strong Republican tilt, reflected in its partisan voting index and consistent performance in recent cycles, underpins trader consensus favoring the GOP at 91 percent. Forecasters across outlets rate the contest Solid Republican, citing the district's composition spanning St. Charles County and surrounding areas plus Onder's prior margin. Limited Democratic primary competition and absence of major late developments have kept probabilities stable. A significant national Democratic wave, unexpected scandal involving the incumbent, or unusually high opposition turnout could narrow the gap, though structural factors make such shifts improbable before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$21,100終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican incumbent Bob Onder secured his party's nomination in the August 4 primary and enters the November general election against Democrat Bethany Mann in Missouri's 3rd congressional district. The seat's strong Republican tilt, reflected in its partisan voting index and consistent performance in recent cycles, underpins trader consensus favoring the GOP at 91 percent. Forecasters across outlets rate the contest Solid Republican, citing the district's composition spanning St. Charles County and surrounding areas plus Onder's prior margin. Limited Democratic primary competition and absence of major late developments have kept probabilities stable. A significant national Democratic wave, unexpected scandal involving the incumbent, or unusually high opposition turnout could narrow the gap, though structural factors make such shifts improbable before Election Day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問