Typical August conditions in subtropical Miami favor overnight lows in the upper 70s to low 80s, as high humidity and frequent cloud cover limit radiative cooling while sea-breeze effects and scattered thunderstorms sustain warmth. Official National Weather Service guidance shows forecast lows near 80–82°F for August 6, aligning with the market’s tight clustering around 76–81°F bins where small differences in shower timing, wind speed, or cloud persistence can shift the observed minimum by a degree or two. Historical climatology places the August average low near 78°F, providing context for why traders assign the highest implied probabilities to those central ranges amid normal summer variability.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月6日のマイアミの最低気温は?
78〜79°F 36%
76〜77°F 20%
74~75°F 18%
72〜73°F 4.5%
67°F以下
<1%
68〜69°F
<1%
70〜71°F
<1%
72〜73°F
5%
74~75°F
21%
76〜77°F
26%
78〜79°F
23%
80~81°F
<1%
82〜83°F
<1%
84〜85°F
<1%
86°F以上
<1%
78〜79°F 36%
76〜77°F 20%
74~75°F 18%
72〜73°F 4.5%
67°F以下
<1%
68〜69°F
<1%
70〜71°F
<1%
72〜73°F
5%
74~75°F
21%
76〜77°F
26%
78〜79°F
23%
80~81°F
<1%
82〜83°F
<1%
84〜85°F
<1%
86°F以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 4, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Typical August conditions in subtropical Miami favor overnight lows in the upper 70s to low 80s, as high humidity and frequent cloud cover limit radiative cooling while sea-breeze effects and scattered thunderstorms sustain warmth. Official National Weather Service guidance shows forecast lows near 80–82°F for August 6, aligning with the market’s tight clustering around 76–81°F bins where small differences in shower timing, wind speed, or cloud persistence can shift the observed minimum by a degree or two. Historical climatology places the August average low near 78°F, providing context for why traders assign the highest implied probabilities to those central ranges amid normal summer variability.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日

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