Incumbent Republican Roger Marshall secured his party's nomination with minimal opposition in the August 4 primary and now faces Democrat Adam Hamilton in the November general election. Kansas's consistent Republican voting patterns in Senate contests, combined with Marshall's established position, underpin the market's strong preference for the GOP nominee. Recent Democratic-sponsored polls show Marshall holding narrow leads of 1 to 4 points, reflecting limited crossover support for the challenger despite Hamilton's primary win. The state's partisan baseline and low likelihood of major shifts before November keep Republican odds elevated while leaving room for modest movement if turnout or national conditions change.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$42,138 Vol.
$42,138 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
81%
民主党
19%
$42,138 Vol.
$42,138 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$27,361 Vol.
81%
民主党
$14,777 Vol.
19%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Roger Marshall secured his party's nomination with minimal opposition in the August 4 primary and now faces Democrat Adam Hamilton in the November general election. Kansas's consistent Republican voting patterns in Senate contests, combined with Marshall's established position, underpin the market's strong preference for the GOP nominee. Recent Democratic-sponsored polls show Marshall holding narrow leads of 1 to 4 points, reflecting limited crossover support for the challenger despite Hamilton's primary win. The state's partisan baseline and low likelihood of major shifts before November keep Republican odds elevated while leaving room for modest movement if turnout or national conditions change.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
マーケット開始日： Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ET
音量
$42,138終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Roger Marshall secured his party's nomination with minimal opposition in the August 4 primary and now faces Democrat Adam Hamilton in the November general election. Kansas's consistent Republican voting patterns in Senate contests, combined with Marshall's established position, underpin the market's strong preference for the GOP nominee. Recent Democratic-sponsored polls show Marshall holding narrow leads of 1 to 4 points, reflecting limited crossover support for the challenger despite Hamilton's primary win. The state's partisan baseline and low likelihood of major shifts before November keep Republican odds elevated while leaving room for modest movement if turnout or national conditions change.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
音量
$42,138終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Roger Marshall secured his party's nomination with minimal opposition in the August 4 primary and now faces Democrat Adam Hamilton in the November general election. Kansas's consistent Republican voting patterns in Senate contests, combined with Marshall's established position, underpin the market's strong preference for the GOP nominee. Recent Democratic-sponsored polls show Marshall holding narrow leads of 1 to 4 points, reflecting limited crossover support for the challenger despite Hamilton's primary win. The state's partisan baseline and low likelihood of major shifts before November keep Republican odds elevated while leaving room for modest movement if turnout or national conditions change.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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