Juliana Stratton secured the Democratic nomination for the open Illinois Senate seat after a competitive March 2026 primary, benefiting from strong backing by Governor JB Pritzker and established party infrastructure as the state's lieutenant governor. Illinois voters have consistently supported Democratic Senate candidates in recent cycles, contributing to unanimous forecaster ratings of the race as Safe or Solid Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Republican nominee Don Tracy, a former state party chair, prevailed in a lower-visibility primary but faces structural headwinds in the deep-blue state. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these fundamentals, including Stratton's fundraising edge and name recognition. Scenarios that could shift the contest include significant national political realignments, unusually strong Republican turnout, or unexpected candidate developments before Election Day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$32,345 Vol.
$32,345 Vol.
2026/11/02
ジュリアナ・ストラットン（民主党）
96%
ドン・トレーシー（共和党）
3%
$32,345 Vol.
$32,345 Vol.
2026/11/02
ジュリアナ・ストラットン（民主党）
$16,810 Vol.
96%
ドン・トレーシー（共和党）
$15,535 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Illinois U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Juliana Stratton secured the Democratic nomination for the open Illinois Senate seat after a competitive March 2026 primary, benefiting from strong backing by Governor JB Pritzker and established party infrastructure as the state's lieutenant governor. Illinois voters have consistently supported Democratic Senate candidates in recent cycles, contributing to unanimous forecaster ratings of the race as Safe or Solid Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Republican nominee Don Tracy, a former state party chair, prevailed in a lower-visibility primary but faces structural headwinds in the deep-blue state. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these fundamentals, including Stratton's fundraising edge and name recognition. Scenarios that could shift the contest include significant national political realignments, unusually strong Republican turnout, or unexpected candidate developments before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Illinois U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
マーケット開始日： Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ET
音量
$32,345終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Illinois U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Juliana Stratton secured the Democratic nomination for the open Illinois Senate seat after a competitive March 2026 primary, benefiting from strong backing by Governor JB Pritzker and established party infrastructure as the state's lieutenant governor. Illinois voters have consistently supported Democratic Senate candidates in recent cycles, contributing to unanimous forecaster ratings of the race as Safe or Solid Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Republican nominee Don Tracy, a former state party chair, prevailed in a lower-visibility primary but faces structural headwinds in the deep-blue state. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these fundamentals, including Stratton's fundraising edge and name recognition. Scenarios that could shift the contest include significant national political realignments, unusually strong Republican turnout, or unexpected candidate developments before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Illinois U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
音量
$32,345終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Juliana Stratton secured the Democratic nomination for the open Illinois Senate seat after a competitive March 2026 primary, benefiting from strong backing by Governor JB Pritzker and established party infrastructure as the state's lieutenant governor. Illinois voters have consistently supported Democratic Senate candidates in recent cycles, contributing to unanimous forecaster ratings of the race as Safe or Solid Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Republican nominee Don Tracy, a former state party chair, prevailed in a lower-visibility primary but faces structural headwinds in the deep-blue state. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these fundamentals, including Stratton's fundraising edge and name recognition. Scenarios that could shift the contest include significant national political realignments, unusually strong Republican turnout, or unexpected candidate developments before Election Day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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