Cheng Chao-fang leads the Hsinchu County magistrate market at 62% after the DPP formally nominated the Zhubei mayor in June 2026, consolidating party support ahead of the November local elections. Hsu Hsin-ying sits at 33.5% following her March KMT primary victory over deputy magistrate Chen Chien-hsien, though lingering party tensions and calls for unity at recent KMT meetings have tempered trader assessments of her path. Lin Szu-ming at 46% reflects residual interest in alternative candidacies, while Chen’s 7.5% price aligns with his primary defeat and limited independent prospects. These probabilities capture trader views on nomination timing, inter-party competition, and local voting patterns in a county held by the KMT since 2001.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日鄭朝方 40%
陳見賢 8%
徐欣瑩 0
林思銘 0
新規
新規
2027/06/30
鄭朝方
60%
陳見賢
8%
徐欣瑩
36%
林思銘
45%
鄭朝方 40%
陳見賢 8%
徐欣瑩 0
林思銘 0
新規
新規
2027/06/30
鄭朝方
$21 Vol.
60%
陳見賢
$41 Vol.
8%
徐欣瑩
$96 Vol.
36%
林思銘
$32 Vol.
45%
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Hsinchu County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Cheng Chao-fang leads the Hsinchu County magistrate market at 62% after the DPP formally nominated the Zhubei mayor in June 2026, consolidating party support ahead of the November local elections. Hsu Hsin-ying sits at 33.5% following her March KMT primary victory over deputy magistrate Chen Chien-hsien, though lingering party tensions and calls for unity at recent KMT meetings have tempered trader assessments of her path. Lin Szu-ming at 46% reflects residual interest in alternative candidacies, while Chen’s 7.5% price aligns with his primary defeat and limited independent prospects. These probabilities capture trader views on nomination timing, inter-party competition, and local voting patterns in a county held by the KMT since 2001.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Hsinchu County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Hsinchu County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
マーケット開始日： Aug 14, 2026, 8:53 AM ET
音量
$190終了日
2026/11/28マーケット開始日
Aug 14, 2026, 8:53 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Hsinchu County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Cheng Chao-fang leads the Hsinchu County magistrate market at 62% after the DPP formally nominated the Zhubei mayor in June 2026, consolidating party support ahead of the November local elections. Hsu Hsin-ying sits at 33.5% following her March KMT primary victory over deputy magistrate Chen Chien-hsien, though lingering party tensions and calls for unity at recent KMT meetings have tempered trader assessments of her path. Lin Szu-ming at 46% reflects residual interest in alternative candidacies, while Chen’s 7.5% price aligns with his primary defeat and limited independent prospects. These probabilities capture trader views on nomination timing, inter-party competition, and local voting patterns in a county held by the KMT since 2001.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Hsinchu County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Hsinchu County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
音量
$190終了日
2026/11/28マーケット開始日
Aug 14, 2026, 8:53 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Cheng Chao-fang leads the Hsinchu County magistrate market at 62% after the DPP formally nominated the Zhubei mayor in June 2026, consolidating party support ahead of the November local elections. Hsu Hsin-ying sits at 33.5% following her March KMT primary victory over deputy magistrate Chen Chien-hsien, though lingering party tensions and calls for unity at recent KMT meetings have tempered trader assessments of her path. Lin Szu-ming at 46% reflects residual interest in alternative candidacies, while Chen’s 7.5% price aligns with his primary defeat and limited independent prospects. These probabilities capture trader views on nomination timing, inter-party competition, and local voting patterns in a county held by the KMT since 2001.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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