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icon for 新竹市長選挙優勝者

新竹市長選挙優勝者

icon for 新竹市長選挙優勝者

新竹市長選挙優勝者

何志勇 23%

チュアン・チンチェン 16%

アン・カオ 0

Polymarket
新規

何志勇 23%

チュアン・チンチェン 16%

アン・カオ 0

Polymarket
新規
icon for 何志勇

何志勇

$21 Vol.

23%

icon for チュアン・チンチェン

チュアン・チンチェン

$60 Vol.

16%

icon for アン・カオ

アン・カオ

$21 Vol.

57%

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Hsinchu City as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Incumbent Ann Kao leads trader pricing in the Hsinchu mayoral race after her December 2025 reinstatement following acquittal on prior corruption charges, with DPP nominee Chuang Ching-cheng and announced KMT-linked challenger Ho Chih-yung trailing. The November 2026 vote remains competitive due to Taiwan's multi-party dynamics, where opposition votes could split between DPP and KMT-aligned candidates, alongside limited recent polling data and candidate registration still weeks away. Kao's incumbency and party affiliation provide a base, yet legal history and the entry of additional contenders sustain uncertainty that keeps probabilities clustered and responsive to upcoming nomination finalization or campaign developments.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Hsinchu City as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
音量
$102
終了日
2026/11/28
マーケット開始日
Aug 14, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Hsinchu City as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Hsinchu City as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Incumbent Ann Kao leads trader pricing in the Hsinchu mayoral race after her December 2025 reinstatement following acquittal on prior corruption charges, with DPP nominee Chuang Ching-cheng and announced KMT-linked challenger Ho Chih-yung trailing. The November 2026 vote remains competitive due to Taiwan's multi-party dynamics, where opposition votes could split between DPP and KMT-aligned candidates, alongside limited recent polling data and candidate registration still weeks away. Kao's incumbency and party affiliation provide a base, yet legal history and the entry of additional contenders sustain uncertainty that keeps probabilities clustered and responsive to upcoming nomination finalization or campaign developments.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Hsinchu City as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
音量
$102
終了日
2026/11/28
マーケット開始日
Aug 14, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Hsinchu City as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).

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よくある質問

「新竹市長選挙優勝者」はPolymarket上の3個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「アン・カオ」で57%、次いで「何志勇」が23%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、57¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に57%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「新竹市長選挙優勝者」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です(Aug 14, 2026開始)。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「新竹市長選挙優勝者」で取引するには、このページに記載されている3個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「新竹市長選挙優勝者」の現在のフロントランナーは「アン・カオ」で57%であり、市場がこの結果に57%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「何志勇」で23%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「新竹市長選挙優勝者」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。