Trader consensus centers on 33°C as Tel Aviv’s peak temperature today, driven by stable summer high-pressure patterns and Mediterranean sea-breeze moderation that limit afternoon heating to near seasonal norms. Ensemble forecasts from regional models show consistent maxima in the low- to mid-30s, with only modest urban heat-island effects or brief wind shifts potentially nudging readings to 34°C. Current surface observations indicate no strong Saharan air intrusion or anomalous subsidence that would support higher thresholds, keeping 35°C and above at negligible implied odds. Official Israel Meteorological Service station data will resolve the market, with intraday updates likely to refine probabilities as the diurnal cycle peaks.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月15日のテルアビブの最高気温は?
33°C 64%
34°C 28%
32°C 5%
35°C <1%
$19,799 Vol.
$19,799 Vol.
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
5%
33°C
64%
34°C
28%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
33°C 64%
34°C 28%
32°C 5%
35°C <1%
$19,799 Vol.
$19,799 Vol.
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
5%
33°C
64%
34°C
28%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus centers on 33°C as Tel Aviv’s peak temperature today, driven by stable summer high-pressure patterns and Mediterranean sea-breeze moderation that limit afternoon heating to near seasonal norms. Ensemble forecasts from regional models show consistent maxima in the low- to mid-30s, with only modest urban heat-island effects or brief wind shifts potentially nudging readings to 34°C. Current surface observations indicate no strong Saharan air intrusion or anomalous subsidence that would support higher thresholds, keeping 35°C and above at negligible implied odds. Official Israel Meteorological Service station data will resolve the market, with intraday updates likely to refine probabilities as the diurnal cycle peaks.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日


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