Recent Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts for Incheon on August 15 project a maximum near 31–32°C under mostly cloudy skies with 20–30% precipitation chances, which could limit peak heating through reduced insolation and evaporative cooling. This aligns with mid-August climatology, where Seoul’s average daily high hovers around 29–30°C amid high humidity and frequent monsoon influences. Trader consensus clustering near 29–30°C reflects model agreement on possible stabilization from increased cloud cover or brief showers, while the modest probability mass at 31°C accounts for clearer intervals or stronger subsidence. Key upcoming updates include refined short-range model runs and surface observations over the next 48 hours that will clarify whether daytime convection suppresses or allows the higher end of the range.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月15日のソウル(仁川)の最高気温は?
30°C 37%
29°C 28%
31°C 22%
28°C 8%
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
2%
28°C
8%
29°C
28%
30°C
37%
31°C
22%
32°C
6%
33°C
4%
34°C or higher
1%
30°C 37%
29°C 28%
31°C 22%
28°C 8%
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
2%
28°C
8%
29°C
28%
30°C
37%
31°C
22%
32°C
6%
33°C
4%
34°C or higher
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts for Incheon on August 15 project a maximum near 31–32°C under mostly cloudy skies with 20–30% precipitation chances, which could limit peak heating through reduced insolation and evaporative cooling. This aligns with mid-August climatology, where Seoul’s average daily high hovers around 29–30°C amid high humidity and frequent monsoon influences. Trader consensus clustering near 29–30°C reflects model agreement on possible stabilization from increased cloud cover or brief showers, while the modest probability mass at 31°C accounts for clearer intervals or stronger subsidence. Key upcoming updates include refined short-range model runs and surface observations over the next 48 hours that will clarify whether daytime convection suppresses or allows the higher end of the range.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日

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