Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological services converge on a daily maximum of 33–34°C for Shenzhen on August 13 under typical subtropical monsoon conditions, with afternoon thunderstorms and high humidity expected to moderate peak readings. Regional models highlight the influence of southeasterly flow from the South China Sea and urban heat-island effects, while climatological baselines place August maxima near 32°C. The leading market-implied probabilities for 33°C and 34°C reflect this narrow consensus range, tempered by uncertainty in exact convective timing that could shave 1°C from the high. No anomalous heatwave or blocking pattern has emerged in the latest guidance, keeping higher outcomes (35°C+) at low implied odds. Final verification will depend on official station data released after the observation period.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月13日の深センの最高気温は？
8月13日の深センの最高気温は？
34°C 43%
33°C 32%
35℃ 16%
32℃ 7%
新規
新規
2026/08/13
28℃以下
<1%
29℃
<1%
30℃
1%
31℃
4%
32℃
7%
33°C
32%
34°C
43%
35℃
16%
36°C
5%
37℃
1%
38°C以上
1%
34°C 43%
33°C 32%
35℃ 16%
32℃ 7%
新規
新規
2026/08/13
28℃以下
$1,271 Vol.
<1%
29℃
$310 Vol.
<1%
30℃
$253 Vol.
1%
31℃
$271 Vol.
4%
32℃
$516 Vol.
7%
33°C
$1,407 Vol.
32%
34°C
$2,298 Vol.
43%
35℃
$589 Vol.
16%
36°C
$594 Vol.
5%
37℃
$784 Vol.
1%
38°C以上
$1,009 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological services converge on a daily maximum of 33–34°C for Shenzhen on August 13 under typical subtropical monsoon conditions, with afternoon thunderstorms and high humidity expected to moderate peak readings. Regional models highlight the influence of southeasterly flow from the South China Sea and urban heat-island effects, while climatological baselines place August maxima near 32°C. The leading market-implied probabilities for 33°C and 34°C reflect this narrow consensus range, tempered by uncertainty in exact convective timing that could shave 1°C from the high. No anomalous heatwave or blocking pattern has emerged in the latest guidance, keeping higher outcomes (35°C+) at low implied odds. Final verification will depend on official station data released after the observation period.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 11, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
音量
$9,300終了日
2026/08/13マーケット開始日
Aug 11, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological services converge on a daily maximum of 33–34°C for Shenzhen on August 13 under typical subtropical monsoon conditions, with afternoon thunderstorms and high humidity expected to moderate peak readings. Regional models highlight the influence of southeasterly flow from the South China Sea and urban heat-island effects, while climatological baselines place August maxima near 32°C. The leading market-implied probabilities for 33°C and 34°C reflect this narrow consensus range, tempered by uncertainty in exact convective timing that could shave 1°C from the high. No anomalous heatwave or blocking pattern has emerged in the latest guidance, keeping higher outcomes (35°C+) at low implied odds. Final verification will depend on official station data released after the observation period.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$9,300終了日
2026/08/13マーケット開始日
Aug 11, 2026, 12:04 AM ETRecent forecasts from multiple meteorological services converge on a daily maximum of 33–34°C for Shenzhen on August 13 under typical subtropical monsoon conditions, with afternoon thunderstorms and high humidity expected to moderate peak readings. Regional models highlight the influence of southeasterly flow from the South China Sea and urban heat-island effects, while climatological baselines place August maxima near 32°C. The leading market-implied probabilities for 33°C and 34°C reflect this narrow consensus range, tempered by uncertainty in exact convective timing that could shave 1°C from the high. No anomalous heatwave or blocking pattern has emerged in the latest guidance, keeping higher outcomes (35°C+) at low implied odds. Final verification will depend on official station data released after the observation period.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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