Recent Environment Canada and ensemble model guidance centers the Toronto high on August 12 near 26°C under mainly cloudy skies with a 30% chance of afternoon showers or thunderstorms. This narrow 24–28°C envelope produces the market’s tight clustering around 26°C and 27°C outcomes, as modest differences in simulated cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and convective timing can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Light northwesterly flow limits warm-air advection while increasing the potential for scattered instability, keeping probabilities balanced between those two bins and leaving lower or higher resolutions with minimal implied odds. Updated short-range model runs later today will likely refine the final maximum before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月12日のトロントの最高気温は?
26°C 32%
27°C 28%
25°C 21%
28°C 13%
$33,281 Vol.
$33,281 Vol.
24°C or below
6%
25°C
21%
26°C
32%
27°C
28%
28°C
13%
29°C
4%
30°C
3%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
26°C 32%
27°C 28%
25°C 21%
28°C 13%
$33,281 Vol.
$33,281 Vol.
24°C or below
6%
25°C
21%
26°C
32%
27°C
28%
28°C
13%
29°C
4%
30°C
3%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 10, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent Environment Canada and ensemble model guidance centers the Toronto high on August 12 near 26°C under mainly cloudy skies with a 30% chance of afternoon showers or thunderstorms. This narrow 24–28°C envelope produces the market’s tight clustering around 26°C and 27°C outcomes, as modest differences in simulated cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and convective timing can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Light northwesterly flow limits warm-air advection while increasing the potential for scattered instability, keeping probabilities balanced between those two bins and leaving lower or higher resolutions with minimal implied odds. Updated short-range model runs later today will likely refine the final maximum before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日


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