Recent numerical weather prediction models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration show Shanghai under a moist subtropical flow with scattered showers expected on August 12, limiting daytime heating and supporting a most probable maximum near 29 °C. Typical August climatology features highs of 31–33 °C, yet the current pattern of elevated humidity, cloud cover, and weak steering winds favors slight suppression of peak temperatures compared with recent heat-wave conditions. Ensemble spreads remain narrow two days out, with only modest upside risk if convection remains isolated; traders have therefore concentrated implied probability on the 28–30 °C range while discounting extremes above 32 °C. Updated model runs and local observations through the morning of August 11 will refine these odds ahead of market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月12日の上海の最高気温は？
8月12日の上海の最高気温は？
29℃ 48%
28℃ 27%
30℃ 20%
31°C 5%
新規
$10,489 Vol.
新規
$10,489 Vol.
2026/08/12
24℃以下
<1%
25℃
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
4%
28℃
27%
29℃
48%
30℃
20%
31°C
5%
32°C
1%
33°C
<1%
34℃以上
<1%
29℃ 48%
28℃ 27%
30℃ 20%
31°C 5%
新規
$10,489 Vol.
新規
$10,489 Vol.
2026/08/12
24℃以下
$599 Vol.
<1%
25℃
$643 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$348 Vol.
1%
27°C
$968 Vol.
4%
28℃
$2,104 Vol.
27%
29℃
$1,999 Vol.
48%
30℃
$1,665 Vol.
20%
31°C
$1,039 Vol.
5%
32°C
$259 Vol.
1%
33°C
$537 Vol.
<1%
34℃以上
$328 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration show Shanghai under a moist subtropical flow with scattered showers expected on August 12, limiting daytime heating and supporting a most probable maximum near 29 °C. Typical August climatology features highs of 31–33 °C, yet the current pattern of elevated humidity, cloud cover, and weak steering winds favors slight suppression of peak temperatures compared with recent heat-wave conditions. Ensemble spreads remain narrow two days out, with only modest upside risk if convection remains isolated; traders have therefore concentrated implied probability on the 28–30 °C range while discounting extremes above 32 °C. Updated model runs and local observations through the morning of August 11 will refine these odds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
音量
$10,489終了日
2026/08/12マーケット開始日
Aug 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration show Shanghai under a moist subtropical flow with scattered showers expected on August 12, limiting daytime heating and supporting a most probable maximum near 29 °C. Typical August climatology features highs of 31–33 °C, yet the current pattern of elevated humidity, cloud cover, and weak steering winds favors slight suppression of peak temperatures compared with recent heat-wave conditions. Ensemble spreads remain narrow two days out, with only modest upside risk if convection remains isolated; traders have therefore concentrated implied probability on the 28–30 °C range while discounting extremes above 32 °C. Updated model runs and local observations through the morning of August 11 will refine these odds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$10,489終了日
2026/08/12マーケット開始日
Aug 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ETRecent numerical weather prediction models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration show Shanghai under a moist subtropical flow with scattered showers expected on August 12, limiting daytime heating and supporting a most probable maximum near 29 °C. Typical August climatology features highs of 31–33 °C, yet the current pattern of elevated humidity, cloud cover, and weak steering winds favors slight suppression of peak temperatures compared with recent heat-wave conditions. Ensemble spreads remain narrow two days out, with only modest upside risk if convection remains isolated; traders have therefore concentrated implied probability on the 28–30 °C range while discounting extremes above 32 °C. Updated model runs and local observations through the morning of August 11 will refine these odds ahead of market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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