Official AEMET and European model guidance for Madrid on August 10, 2026, centers on 35–37 °C under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light winds that promote strong daytime solar heating in the city’s continental setting. These conditions align with late-summer climatology where average maxima reach 32–34 °C yet allow modest elevation when subsidence and dry air persist. Recent model runs show limited spread, with most solutions clustering near 36 °C and only modest urban-heat-island or boundary-layer warming potential pushing a minority toward 38 °C. Traders therefore assign the highest implied probability to 37 °C, reflecting consensus on the absence of cooling advection or increased cloud cover before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月10日のマドリードの最高気温は？
8月10日のマドリードの最高気温は？
37℃ 48%
36℃ 26%
38℃ 13%
35°C 6%
新規
新規
2026/08/10
31℃以下
<1%
32℃
<1%
33℃
2%
34°C
2%
35°C
6%
36℃
26%
37℃
48%
38℃
13%
39°C
3%
40°C
1%
41℃以上
1%
37℃ 48%
36℃ 26%
38℃ 13%
35°C 6%
新規
新規
2026/08/10
31℃以下
$10 Vol.
<1%
32℃
$10 Vol.
<1%
33℃
$5 Vol.
2%
34°C
$10 Vol.
2%
35°C
$122 Vol.
6%
36℃
$556 Vol.
26%
37℃
$103 Vol.
48%
38℃
$122 Vol.
13%
39°C
$24 Vol.
3%
40°C
$75 Vol.
1%
41℃以上
$15 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official AEMET and European model guidance for Madrid on August 10, 2026, centers on 35–37 °C under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light winds that promote strong daytime solar heating in the city’s continental setting. These conditions align with late-summer climatology where average maxima reach 32–34 °C yet allow modest elevation when subsidence and dry air persist. Recent model runs show limited spread, with most solutions clustering near 36 °C and only modest urban-heat-island or boundary-layer warming potential pushing a minority toward 38 °C. Traders therefore assign the highest implied probability to 37 °C, reflecting consensus on the absence of cooling advection or increased cloud cover before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 8, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
音量
$1,052終了日
2026/08/10マーケット開始日
Aug 8, 2026, 1:02 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official AEMET and European model guidance for Madrid on August 10, 2026, centers on 35–37 °C under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light winds that promote strong daytime solar heating in the city’s continental setting. These conditions align with late-summer climatology where average maxima reach 32–34 °C yet allow modest elevation when subsidence and dry air persist. Recent model runs show limited spread, with most solutions clustering near 36 °C and only modest urban-heat-island or boundary-layer warming potential pushing a minority toward 38 °C. Traders therefore assign the highest implied probability to 37 °C, reflecting consensus on the absence of cooling advection or increased cloud cover before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$1,052終了日
2026/08/10マーケット開始日
Aug 8, 2026, 1:02 AM ETOfficial AEMET and European model guidance for Madrid on August 10, 2026, centers on 35–37 °C under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light winds that promote strong daytime solar heating in the city’s continental setting. These conditions align with late-summer climatology where average maxima reach 32–34 °C yet allow modest elevation when subsidence and dry air persist. Recent model runs show limited spread, with most solutions clustering near 36 °C and only modest urban-heat-island or boundary-layer warming potential pushing a minority toward 38 °C. Traders therefore assign the highest implied probability to 37 °C, reflecting consensus on the absence of cooling advection or increased cloud cover before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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