Recent hot conditions across Hong Kong, with daytime highs frequently reaching 36–38°C and limited overnight cooling under a subtropical high-pressure regime, underpin trader consensus favoring a lowest temperature of 28–30°C on August 11. Seasonal outlooks from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate normal to above-normal temperatures for August–October amid long-term warming trends, while short-range models show persistent humidity and weak steering flows that suppress sharp drops. Thunderstorm activity expected around August 9–10 may provide minor relief but is unlikely to drive minima below 27°C given urban heat-island effects and typical August climatology of 26°C lows. Updated forecast guidance closer to the date will refine these market-implied probabilities.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月11日の香港の最低気温は？
8月11日の香港の最低気温は？
29°C 40%
28°C 38%
30°C 26%
27℃ 17%
新規
新規
2026/08/11
24℃以下
<1%
25°C
1%
26℃
4%
27℃
17%
28°C
35%
29°C
48%
30°C
26%
31℃
10%
32℃
5%
33℃
9%
34℃以上
1%
29°C 40%
28°C 38%
30°C 26%
27℃ 17%
新規
新規
2026/08/11
24℃以下
$34 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$0 Vol.
1%
26℃
$0 Vol.
4%
27℃
$0 Vol.
17%
28°C
$5 Vol.
35%
29°C
$15 Vol.
48%
30°C
$0 Vol.
26%
31℃
$0 Vol.
10%
32℃
$22 Vol.
5%
33℃
$5 Vol.
9%
34℃以上
$22 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent hot conditions across Hong Kong, with daytime highs frequently reaching 36–38°C and limited overnight cooling under a subtropical high-pressure regime, underpin trader consensus favoring a lowest temperature of 28–30°C on August 11. Seasonal outlooks from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate normal to above-normal temperatures for August–October amid long-term warming trends, while short-range models show persistent humidity and weak steering flows that suppress sharp drops. Thunderstorm activity expected around August 9–10 may provide minor relief but is unlikely to drive minima below 27°C given urban heat-island effects and typical August climatology of 26°C lows. Updated forecast guidance closer to the date will refine these market-implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Aug 9, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
音量
$102終了日
2026/08/11マーケット開始日
Aug 9, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent hot conditions across Hong Kong, with daytime highs frequently reaching 36–38°C and limited overnight cooling under a subtropical high-pressure regime, underpin trader consensus favoring a lowest temperature of 28–30°C on August 11. Seasonal outlooks from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate normal to above-normal temperatures for August–October amid long-term warming trends, while short-range models show persistent humidity and weak steering flows that suppress sharp drops. Thunderstorm activity expected around August 9–10 may provide minor relief but is unlikely to drive minima below 27°C given urban heat-island effects and typical August climatology of 26°C lows. Updated forecast guidance closer to the date will refine these market-implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$102終了日
2026/08/11マーケット開始日
Aug 9, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent hot conditions across Hong Kong, with daytime highs frequently reaching 36–38°C and limited overnight cooling under a subtropical high-pressure regime, underpin trader consensus favoring a lowest temperature of 28–30°C on August 11. Seasonal outlooks from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate normal to above-normal temperatures for August–October amid long-term warming trends, while short-range models show persistent humidity and weak steering flows that suppress sharp drops. Thunderstorm activity expected around August 9–10 may provide minor relief but is unlikely to drive minima below 27°C given urban heat-island effects and typical August climatology of 26°C lows. Updated forecast guidance closer to the date will refine these market-implied probabilities.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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