Current short-range forecasts from the Met Office and ensemble models indicate a minimum temperature near 17°C for London on August 11, driving the leading market share for that outcome amid a warm southerly flow. Key variables include nocturnal radiative cooling rates modulated by cloud cover and wind speed, plus any late adjustments from Atlantic fronts that could enhance or suppress the low. Model consensus remains tight for this 48-hour window, yet small timing shifts in high pressure could push readings to 16°C or 18°C. Historical August minima average near 14°C, underscoring the current anomaly. Traders will monitor updated runs from the Met Office and ECMWF before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月11日のロンドンの最低気温は?
17°C 41%
16℃ 23%
18°C 18%
15°C 12%
12℃以下
3%
13°C
3%
14°C
5%
15°C
12%
16℃
23%
17°C
41%
18°C
18%
19℃
6%
20℃
6%
21℃
1%
22°C以上
1%
17°C 41%
16℃ 23%
18°C 18%
15°C 12%
12℃以下
3%
13°C
3%
14°C
5%
15°C
12%
16℃
23%
17°C
41%
18°C
18%
19℃
6%
20℃
6%
21℃
1%
22°C以上
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 9, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current short-range forecasts from the Met Office and ensemble models indicate a minimum temperature near 17°C for London on August 11, driving the leading market share for that outcome amid a warm southerly flow. Key variables include nocturnal radiative cooling rates modulated by cloud cover and wind speed, plus any late adjustments from Atlantic fronts that could enhance or suppress the low. Model consensus remains tight for this 48-hour window, yet small timing shifts in high pressure could push readings to 16°C or 18°C. Historical August minima average near 14°C, underscoring the current anomaly. Traders will monitor updated runs from the Met Office and ECMWF before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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