Recent heatwave conditions across South Korea, including record temperatures exceeding 40°C earlier in August and active heatwave warnings for the Seoul-Incheon region, underpin trader positioning around 33–35°C for the Incheon station maximum on August 9. Official KMA short-range guidance and ensemble models currently favor daytime highs near 33–34°C under persistent high-pressure subsidence and light winds, with limited cloud cover and low precipitation probability supporting modest further warming. Humidity levels near 60–70% and urban heat-island effects at the coastal Incheon site introduce minor variability, while any late-model shift toward increased onshore flow or afternoon convection could cap readings at 33°C. The tight spread between leading outcomes reflects genuine forecast uncertainty two days out, with resolution hinging on the final 24-hour model updates from KMA and NHC-equivalent regional guidance.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月9日のソウル(仁川)の最高気温は?
34°C 34%
33°C 27%
35°C 19%
36°C 7%
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
5%
32°C
7%
33°C
27%
34°C
34%
35°C
19%
36°C
7%
37°C
2%
38°C
2%
39°C or higher
1%
34°C 34%
33°C 27%
35°C 19%
36°C 7%
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
5%
32°C
7%
33°C
27%
34°C
34%
35°C
19%
36°C
7%
37°C
2%
38°C
2%
39°C or higher
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 7, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent heatwave conditions across South Korea, including record temperatures exceeding 40°C earlier in August and active heatwave warnings for the Seoul-Incheon region, underpin trader positioning around 33–35°C for the Incheon station maximum on August 9. Official KMA short-range guidance and ensemble models currently favor daytime highs near 33–34°C under persistent high-pressure subsidence and light winds, with limited cloud cover and low precipitation probability supporting modest further warming. Humidity levels near 60–70% and urban heat-island effects at the coastal Incheon site introduce minor variability, while any late-model shift toward increased onshore flow or afternoon convection could cap readings at 33°C. The tight spread between leading outcomes reflects genuine forecast uncertainty two days out, with resolution hinging on the final 24-hour model updates from KMA and NHC-equivalent regional guidance.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問