Current short-range forecast models from sources including AccuWeather and European ensembles point to a Moscow high temperature near 22–23 °C on August 9, driven by a mix of partly cloudy skies, moderate westerly flow, and surface pressure around 1015–1020 hPa that limits strong daytime heating. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, with most runs clustering in the low-20s °C range and only modest potential for slight warming under clearer conditions or cooling from increased cloud cover and light showers. This aligns with typical early-August climatology for the region (daily highs averaging ~22 °C) and explains why the market-implied odds favor 22–23 °C while assigning low probability to extremes above 25 °C or below 21 °C. Updated model runs expected within the next 24–48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月9日のモスクワの最高気温は？
8月9日のモスクワの最高気温は？
23°C 40%
22℃ 29%
24℃ 17%
21°C 13%
新規
新規
2026/08/09
19°C以下
4%
20℃
3%
21°C
13%
22℃
29%
23°C
40%
24℃
17%
25℃
5%
26°C
2%
27°C
2%
28°C
1%
29°C以上
<1%
23°C 40%
22℃ 29%
24℃ 17%
21°C 13%
新規
新規
2026/08/09
19°C以下
$5 Vol.
4%
20℃
$23 Vol.
3%
21°C
$12 Vol.
13%
22℃
$221 Vol.
29%
23°C
$15 Vol.
40%
24℃
$1 Vol.
17%
25℃
$5 Vol.
5%
26°C
$14 Vol.
2%
27°C
$5 Vol.
2%
28°C
$110 Vol.
1%
29°C以上
$205 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range forecast models from sources including AccuWeather and European ensembles point to a Moscow high temperature near 22–23 °C on August 9, driven by a mix of partly cloudy skies, moderate westerly flow, and surface pressure around 1015–1020 hPa that limits strong daytime heating. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, with most runs clustering in the low-20s °C range and only modest potential for slight warming under clearer conditions or cooling from increased cloud cover and light showers. This aligns with typical early-August climatology for the region (daily highs averaging ~22 °C) and explains why the market-implied odds favor 22–23 °C while assigning low probability to extremes above 25 °C or below 21 °C. Updated model runs expected within the next 24–48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 7, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
音量
$617終了日
2026/08/09マーケット開始日
Aug 7, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range forecast models from sources including AccuWeather and European ensembles point to a Moscow high temperature near 22–23 °C on August 9, driven by a mix of partly cloudy skies, moderate westerly flow, and surface pressure around 1015–1020 hPa that limits strong daytime heating. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, with most runs clustering in the low-20s °C range and only modest potential for slight warming under clearer conditions or cooling from increased cloud cover and light showers. This aligns with typical early-August climatology for the region (daily highs averaging ~22 °C) and explains why the market-implied odds favor 22–23 °C while assigning low probability to extremes above 25 °C or below 21 °C. Updated model runs expected within the next 24–48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$617終了日
2026/08/09マーケット開始日
Aug 7, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current short-range forecast models from sources including AccuWeather and European ensembles point to a Moscow high temperature near 22–23 °C on August 9, driven by a mix of partly cloudy skies, moderate westerly flow, and surface pressure around 1015–1020 hPa that limits strong daytime heating. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, with most runs clustering in the low-20s °C range and only modest potential for slight warming under clearer conditions or cooling from increased cloud cover and light showers. This aligns with typical early-August climatology for the region (daily highs averaging ~22 °C) and explains why the market-implied odds favor 22–23 °C while assigning low probability to extremes above 25 °C or below 21 °C. Updated model runs expected within the next 24–48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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