Recent forecasts from MetService and international models indicate a daytime high near 13–14 °C for Wellington on 9 August, consistent with the city’s August climatological average of roughly 14 °C and the lingering influence of a cool southerly flow. Light northerlies are expected to moderate temperatures slightly from the sub-10 °C maxima recorded on 5–6 August, while a slow-moving front brings cloud and possible showers that limit solar heating. Ensemble guidance shows low spread around these values, with only modest upside risk if winds turn more northerly or if clearing allows brief afternoon warming. Market pricing therefore concentrates on the 14 °C and 15 °C bins, reflecting trader consensus that current model runs and historical analogs favor a near-average winter maximum rather than a pronounced cold outbreak or warm anomaly. Updated MetService guidance and any late-model shifts ahead of the 9 August observation window remain the primary near-term catalysts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月9日のウェリントンの最高気温は？
8月9日のウェリントンの最高気温は？
14°C 56%
15°C 37%
13°C 7%
12°C 2%
新規
$12,521 Vol.
新規
$12,521 Vol.
2026/08/09
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
2%
13°C
7%
14°C
56%
15°C
37%
16°C
2%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
14°C 56%
15°C 37%
13°C 7%
12°C 2%
新規
$12,521 Vol.
新規
$12,521 Vol.
2026/08/09
9°C or below
$328 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$717 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$468 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$576 Vol.
2%
13°C
$2,898 Vol.
7%
14°C
$1,923 Vol.
56%
15°C
$4,264 Vol.
37%
16°C
$452 Vol.
2%
17°C
$458 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$205 Vol.
<1%
19°C or higher
$361 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from MetService and international models indicate a daytime high near 13–14 °C for Wellington on 9 August, consistent with the city’s August climatological average of roughly 14 °C and the lingering influence of a cool southerly flow. Light northerlies are expected to moderate temperatures slightly from the sub-10 °C maxima recorded on 5–6 August, while a slow-moving front brings cloud and possible showers that limit solar heating. Ensemble guidance shows low spread around these values, with only modest upside risk if winds turn more northerly or if clearing allows brief afternoon warming. Market pricing therefore concentrates on the 14 °C and 15 °C bins, reflecting trader consensus that current model runs and historical analogs favor a near-average winter maximum rather than a pronounced cold outbreak or warm anomaly. Updated MetService guidance and any late-model shifts ahead of the 9 August observation window remain the primary near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 7, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
音量
$12,521終了日
2026/08/09マーケット開始日
Aug 7, 2026, 12:02 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from MetService and international models indicate a daytime high near 13–14 °C for Wellington on 9 August, consistent with the city’s August climatological average of roughly 14 °C and the lingering influence of a cool southerly flow. Light northerlies are expected to moderate temperatures slightly from the sub-10 °C maxima recorded on 5–6 August, while a slow-moving front brings cloud and possible showers that limit solar heating. Ensemble guidance shows low spread around these values, with only modest upside risk if winds turn more northerly or if clearing allows brief afternoon warming. Market pricing therefore concentrates on the 14 °C and 15 °C bins, reflecting trader consensus that current model runs and historical analogs favor a near-average winter maximum rather than a pronounced cold outbreak or warm anomaly. Updated MetService guidance and any late-model shifts ahead of the 9 August observation window remain the primary near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$12,521終了日
2026/08/09マーケット開始日
Aug 7, 2026, 12:02 AM ETRecent forecasts from MetService and international models indicate a daytime high near 13–14 °C for Wellington on 9 August, consistent with the city’s August climatological average of roughly 14 °C and the lingering influence of a cool southerly flow. Light northerlies are expected to moderate temperatures slightly from the sub-10 °C maxima recorded on 5–6 August, while a slow-moving front brings cloud and possible showers that limit solar heating. Ensemble guidance shows low spread around these values, with only modest upside risk if winds turn more northerly or if clearing allows brief afternoon warming. Market pricing therefore concentrates on the 14 °C and 15 °C bins, reflecting trader consensus that current model runs and historical analogs favor a near-average winter maximum rather than a pronounced cold outbreak or warm anomaly. Updated MetService guidance and any late-model shifts ahead of the 9 August observation window remain the primary near-term catalysts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問