Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies highlight moderating conditions in Beijing, with increased cloud cover, potential heavy rain, and a high near 27–28°C on August 12 driven by seasonal transition toward Liqiu and associated frontal systems. Ensemble models show close agreement on suppressed daytime heating compared to earlier August peaks above 32°C, though minor variations in precipitation timing and wind patterns create tight uncertainty between 26°C and 28°C outcomes. Historical climatology places typical mid-August maxima around 30–31°C, making the current cooler outlook the dominant factor behind the near-even market odds on 26°C and 27°C. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these projections ahead of market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月12日の北京の最高気温は？
8月12日の北京の最高気温は？
26°C 30%
27°C 30%
28°C 16%
25°C 10%
新規
新規
2026/08/12
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
10%
26°C
30%
27°C
30%
28°C
16%
29°C
6%
30°C
2%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
<1%
26°C 30%
27°C 30%
28°C 16%
25°C 10%
新規
新規
2026/08/12
22°C or below
$413 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$297 Vol.
1%
24°C
$526 Vol.
3%
25°C
$592 Vol.
10%
26°C
$242 Vol.
30%
27°C
$1,784 Vol.
30%
28°C
$134 Vol.
16%
29°C
$344 Vol.
6%
30°C
$93 Vol.
2%
31°C
$74 Vol.
1%
32°C or higher
$92 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies highlight moderating conditions in Beijing, with increased cloud cover, potential heavy rain, and a high near 27–28°C on August 12 driven by seasonal transition toward Liqiu and associated frontal systems. Ensemble models show close agreement on suppressed daytime heating compared to earlier August peaks above 32°C, though minor variations in precipitation timing and wind patterns create tight uncertainty between 26°C and 28°C outcomes. Historical climatology places typical mid-August maxima around 30–31°C, making the current cooler outlook the dominant factor behind the near-even market odds on 26°C and 27°C. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these projections ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 10, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
音量
$4,593終了日
2026/08/12マーケット開始日
Aug 10, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies highlight moderating conditions in Beijing, with increased cloud cover, potential heavy rain, and a high near 27–28°C on August 12 driven by seasonal transition toward Liqiu and associated frontal systems. Ensemble models show close agreement on suppressed daytime heating compared to earlier August peaks above 32°C, though minor variations in precipitation timing and wind patterns create tight uncertainty between 26°C and 28°C outcomes. Historical climatology places typical mid-August maxima around 30–31°C, making the current cooler outlook the dominant factor behind the near-even market odds on 26°C and 27°C. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these projections ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$4,593終了日
2026/08/12マーケット開始日
Aug 10, 2026, 12:05 AM ETRecent forecasts from meteorological agencies highlight moderating conditions in Beijing, with increased cloud cover, potential heavy rain, and a high near 27–28°C on August 12 driven by seasonal transition toward Liqiu and associated frontal systems. Ensemble models show close agreement on suppressed daytime heating compared to earlier August peaks above 32°C, though minor variations in precipitation timing and wind patterns create tight uncertainty between 26°C and 28°C outcomes. Historical climatology places typical mid-August maxima around 30–31°C, making the current cooler outlook the dominant factor behind the near-even market odds on 26°C and 27°C. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these projections ahead of market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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