**Environment Canada’s official forecast for Toronto on August 10 calls for a high of 29 °C under mostly cloudy skies with a 60 % chance of showers, placing the point forecast squarely at the upper end of the market’s leading outcomes.** This aligns with model consensus that has held near or slightly above the late-summer climatological normal of ~26 °C, driven by a warm airmass and limited daytime mixing. Traders have priced 28 °C highest (41.5 %) and 29 °C next (27 %), reflecting residual uncertainty from cloud cover, shower timing, and possible modest cooling from precipitation. Shorter-range guidance shows little support for values above 30 °C or below 27 °C, keeping those tails thin. Updated model runs and any morning observations that confirm or revise the expected cloud trend will be the next key inputs likely to shift implied probabilities.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月10日のトロントの最高気温は？
8月10日のトロントの最高気温は？
28°C 41%
29°C 27%
27°C 14%
30℃ 5%
新規
新規
2026/08/10
24°C以下
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
4%
27°C
14%
28°C
41%
29°C
27%
30℃
5%
31℃
1%
32°C
1%
33°C
<1%
34°C以上
<1%
28°C 41%
29°C 27%
27°C 14%
30℃ 5%
新規
新規
2026/08/10
24°C以下
$220 Vol.
1%
25°C
$225 Vol.
2%
26°C
$349 Vol.
4%
27°C
$507 Vol.
14%
28°C
$1,012 Vol.
41%
29°C
$1,536 Vol.
27%
30℃
$478 Vol.
5%
31℃
$133 Vol.
1%
32°C
$125 Vol.
1%
33°C
$366 Vol.
<1%
34°C以上
$325 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Environment Canada’s official forecast for Toronto on August 10 calls for a high of 29 °C under mostly cloudy skies with a 60 % chance of showers, placing the point forecast squarely at the upper end of the market’s leading outcomes.** This aligns with model consensus that has held near or slightly above the late-summer climatological normal of ~26 °C, driven by a warm airmass and limited daytime mixing. Traders have priced 28 °C highest (41.5 %) and 29 °C next (27 %), reflecting residual uncertainty from cloud cover, shower timing, and possible modest cooling from precipitation. Shorter-range guidance shows little support for values above 30 °C or below 27 °C, keeping those tails thin. Updated model runs and any morning observations that confirm or revise the expected cloud trend will be the next key inputs likely to shift implied probabilities.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 8, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
音量
$5,264終了日
2026/08/10マーケット開始日
Aug 8, 2026, 9:03 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Environment Canada’s official forecast for Toronto on August 10 calls for a high of 29 °C under mostly cloudy skies with a 60 % chance of showers, placing the point forecast squarely at the upper end of the market’s leading outcomes.** This aligns with model consensus that has held near or slightly above the late-summer climatological normal of ~26 °C, driven by a warm airmass and limited daytime mixing. Traders have priced 28 °C highest (41.5 %) and 29 °C next (27 %), reflecting residual uncertainty from cloud cover, shower timing, and possible modest cooling from precipitation. Shorter-range guidance shows little support for values above 30 °C or below 27 °C, keeping those tails thin. Updated model runs and any morning observations that confirm or revise the expected cloud trend will be the next key inputs likely to shift implied probabilities.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$5,264終了日
2026/08/10マーケット開始日
Aug 8, 2026, 9:03 PM ET**Environment Canada’s official forecast for Toronto on August 10 calls for a high of 29 °C under mostly cloudy skies with a 60 % chance of showers, placing the point forecast squarely at the upper end of the market’s leading outcomes.** This aligns with model consensus that has held near or slightly above the late-summer climatological normal of ~26 °C, driven by a warm airmass and limited daytime mixing. Traders have priced 28 °C highest (41.5 %) and 29 °C next (27 %), reflecting residual uncertainty from cloud cover, shower timing, and possible modest cooling from precipitation. Shorter-range guidance shows little support for values above 30 °C or below 27 °C, keeping those tails thin. Updated model runs and any morning observations that confirm or revise the expected cloud trend will be the next key inputs likely to shift implied probabilities.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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