Ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and DWD cluster Munich’s August 13 maximum near 29–31 °C under persistent high pressure, limited cloud cover, and light winds that promote daytime heating. Model spread in boundary-layer moisture and minor differences in any weak frontal passage create the tight split between the 30 °C (36.0 %) and 31 °C (33.5 %) outcomes, while lower probabilities for 29 °C or 32 °C capture tail risks. These near-term runs reflect greater uncertainty than typical August climatology (around 25 °C), with updated ICON and ECMWF guidance expected within 24 hours to refine surface energy balance projections ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月13日のミュンヘンの最高気温は?
30°C 41%
31°C 32%
29°C 14%
32°C 10%
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
6%
29°C
14%
30°C
41%
31°C
32%
32°C
10%
33°C
2%
34°C or higher
2%
30°C 41%
31°C 32%
29°C 14%
32°C 10%
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
6%
29°C
14%
30°C
41%
31°C
32%
32°C
10%
33°C
2%
34°C or higher
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and DWD cluster Munich’s August 13 maximum near 29–31 °C under persistent high pressure, limited cloud cover, and light winds that promote daytime heating. Model spread in boundary-layer moisture and minor differences in any weak frontal passage create the tight split between the 30 °C (36.0 %) and 31 °C (33.5 %) outcomes, while lower probabilities for 29 °C or 32 °C capture tail risks. These near-term runs reflect greater uncertainty than typical August climatology (around 25 °C), with updated ICON and ECMWF guidance expected within 24 hours to refine surface energy balance projections ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日

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