Recent Met Office and BBC forecasts indicate London will reach a daily maximum of 31–33°C on August 12 under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light easterly winds that favor daytime warming. These official guidance updates, combined with ensemble model consensus on strong insolation and minimal cloud cover, underpin the market’s tight clustering around 30–32°C. Minor divergences in projected peak timing and boundary-layer mixing explain the spread between the leading outcomes, while historical August maxima near 22°C provide climatological context for the elevated readings. Traders will monitor the next Met Office update and any revised high-resolution runs for refinements ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月12日のロンドンの最高気温は?
31°C 36%
30°C 28%
32°C 21.0%
29°C 8%
$13,326 Vol.
$13,326 Vol.
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
8%
30°C
28%
31°C
36%
32°C
21%
33°C
6%
34°C以上
2%
31°C 36%
30°C 28%
32°C 21.0%
29°C 8%
$13,326 Vol.
$13,326 Vol.
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
8%
30°C
28%
31°C
36%
32°C
21%
33°C
6%
34°C以上
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 10, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent Met Office and BBC forecasts indicate London will reach a daily maximum of 31–33°C on August 12 under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light easterly winds that favor daytime warming. These official guidance updates, combined with ensemble model consensus on strong insolation and minimal cloud cover, underpin the market’s tight clustering around 30–32°C. Minor divergences in projected peak timing and boundary-layer mixing explain the spread between the leading outcomes, while historical August maxima near 22°C provide climatological context for the elevated readings. Traders will monitor the next Met Office update and any revised high-resolution runs for refinements ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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外部リンクに注意してください。
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