Recent official forecasts from meteorological agencies project Beijing's August 15 maximum near 30–31°C, with model consensus supporting this range amid typical late-summer monsoon patterns, elevated humidity, and scattered thunderstorm activity that limits daytime heating through cloud cover and evaporative cooling. These conditions, consistent with August climatology showing average highs around 30°C and declining from early-month peaks, explain the tight clustering of market-implied odds on 30–32°C outcomes. Key variables include steering flow steering systems northward and potential for localized clearing that could allow brief spikes toward 33°C or suppression below 30°C if heavier rain develops. Updated model runs and observational data over the next 48 hours will likely refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月15日の北京の最高気温は？
8月15日の北京の最高気温は？
32°C 27%
31°C 25%
33°C 20%
30°C 18%
新規
新規
2026/08/15
27°C or below
4%
28°C
3%
29°C
12%
30°C
18%
31°C
25%
32°C
27%
33°C
20%
34°C
5%
35°C
1%
36°C
4%
37°C or higher
1%
32°C 27%
31°C 25%
33°C 20%
30°C 18%
新規
新規
2026/08/15
27°C or below
$5 Vol.
4%
28°C
$10 Vol.
3%
29°C
$0 Vol.
12%
30°C
$0 Vol.
18%
31°C
$0 Vol.
25%
32°C
$0 Vol.
27%
33°C
$5 Vol.
20%
34°C
$25 Vol.
5%
35°C
$29 Vol.
1%
36°C
$12 Vol.
4%
37°C or higher
$12 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from meteorological agencies project Beijing's August 15 maximum near 30–31°C, with model consensus supporting this range amid typical late-summer monsoon patterns, elevated humidity, and scattered thunderstorm activity that limits daytime heating through cloud cover and evaporative cooling. These conditions, consistent with August climatology showing average highs around 30°C and declining from early-month peaks, explain the tight clustering of market-implied odds on 30–32°C outcomes. Key variables include steering flow steering systems northward and potential for localized clearing that could allow brief spikes toward 33°C or suppression below 30°C if heavier rain develops. Updated model runs and observational data over the next 48 hours will likely refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
音量
$98終了日
2026/08/15マーケット開始日
Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from meteorological agencies project Beijing's August 15 maximum near 30–31°C, with model consensus supporting this range amid typical late-summer monsoon patterns, elevated humidity, and scattered thunderstorm activity that limits daytime heating through cloud cover and evaporative cooling. These conditions, consistent with August climatology showing average highs around 30°C and declining from early-month peaks, explain the tight clustering of market-implied odds on 30–32°C outcomes. Key variables include steering flow steering systems northward and potential for localized clearing that could allow brief spikes toward 33°C or suppression below 30°C if heavier rain develops. Updated model runs and observational data over the next 48 hours will likely refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$98終了日
2026/08/15マーケット開始日
Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRecent official forecasts from meteorological agencies project Beijing's August 15 maximum near 30–31°C, with model consensus supporting this range amid typical late-summer monsoon patterns, elevated humidity, and scattered thunderstorm activity that limits daytime heating through cloud cover and evaporative cooling. These conditions, consistent with August climatology showing average highs around 30°C and declining from early-month peaks, explain the tight clustering of market-implied odds on 30–32°C outcomes. Key variables include steering flow steering systems northward and potential for localized clearing that could allow brief spikes toward 33°C or suppression below 30°C if heavier rain develops. Updated model runs and observational data over the next 48 hours will likely refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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