Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models indicate Seattle highs in the mid-70s on August 12, driven by a persistent marine layer and onshore flow off Puget Sound that limits afternoon warming. This aligns with trader consensus favoring the 74–77°F brackets amid typical late-summer climatology, where average daily maxima near 77°F are moderated by sea breezes and variable cloud cover. Subtle differences in solar insolation, boundary-layer mixing, and any late-day clearing create the tight spread between leading outcomes, while above-normal seasonal temperatures provide a slight upward bias without pushing into the low 80s. Final official observations will resolve the market.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月12日のシアトルの最高気温は？
8月12日のシアトルの最高気温は？
76-77°F 44%
74-75°F 39%
78-79°F 14%
72-73°F 7%
新規
新規
2026/08/12
67°F or below
<1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
2%
72-73°F
7%
74-75°F
39%
76-77°F
44%
78-79°F
14%
80-81°F
3%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86°F or higher
<1%
76-77°F 44%
74-75°F 39%
78-79°F 14%
72-73°F 7%
新規
新規
2026/08/12
67°F or below
$964 Vol.
<1%
68-69°F
$655 Vol.
1%
70-71°F
$967 Vol.
2%
72-73°F
$618 Vol.
7%
74-75°F
$1,087 Vol.
39%
76-77°F
$1,437 Vol.
44%
78-79°F
$368 Vol.
14%
80-81°F
$470 Vol.
3%
82-83°F
$555 Vol.
<1%
84-85°F
$711 Vol.
<1%
86°F or higher
$547 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models indicate Seattle highs in the mid-70s on August 12, driven by a persistent marine layer and onshore flow off Puget Sound that limits afternoon warming. This aligns with trader consensus favoring the 74–77°F brackets amid typical late-summer climatology, where average daily maxima near 77°F are moderated by sea breezes and variable cloud cover. Subtle differences in solar insolation, boundary-layer mixing, and any late-day clearing create the tight spread between leading outcomes, while above-normal seasonal temperatures provide a slight upward bias without pushing into the low 80s. Final official observations will resolve the market.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 10, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
音量
$8,378終了日
2026/08/12マーケット開始日
Aug 10, 2026, 9:02 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models indicate Seattle highs in the mid-70s on August 12, driven by a persistent marine layer and onshore flow off Puget Sound that limits afternoon warming. This aligns with trader consensus favoring the 74–77°F brackets amid typical late-summer climatology, where average daily maxima near 77°F are moderated by sea breezes and variable cloud cover. Subtle differences in solar insolation, boundary-layer mixing, and any late-day clearing create the tight spread between leading outcomes, while above-normal seasonal temperatures provide a slight upward bias without pushing into the low 80s. Final official observations will resolve the market.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$8,378終了日
2026/08/12マーケット開始日
Aug 10, 2026, 9:02 PM ETRecent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models indicate Seattle highs in the mid-70s on August 12, driven by a persistent marine layer and onshore flow off Puget Sound that limits afternoon warming. This aligns with trader consensus favoring the 74–77°F brackets amid typical late-summer climatology, where average daily maxima near 77°F are moderated by sea breezes and variable cloud cover. Subtle differences in solar insolation, boundary-layer mixing, and any late-day clearing create the tight spread between leading outcomes, while above-normal seasonal temperatures provide a slight upward bias without pushing into the low 80s. Final official observations will resolve the market.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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